What’s the one big thing missing from Beijing’s Taiwan deterrence strategy?

South China Morning PostEN 1 min read 100% complete by William ZhengMarch 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM

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A mainland Chinese policy advisor, Li Yihu, suggests Beijing needs to improve its communication of the consequences of military deterrence regarding Taiwan. Speaking at a forum in Hong Kong on Sunday, Li stated that while China has built military capacity and political resolve, it needs to ensure adversaries understand the potential costs and benefits of intervention as reunification enters an "accelerated phase" in the next five years. He emphasized the importance of rivals understanding China's power and resolve, referencing Henry Kissinger's deterrence theory. Li argued that Beijing needs to improve its ability to provide early warnings, respond to incidents, and achieve desired results in dealing with situations related to Taiwan.

Key Entities & Roles

Key Player Opposition Context

United States 30% Hong Kong 40% Henry Kissinger 40% China Review News Agency 50% Peking University 60% Beijing ×270% Taiwan 80% Li Yihu ×390%

Keywords

taiwan 100% deterrence 90% reunification 70% military capacity 60% political resolve 60% deterrence theory 50% beijing 50% china 50% early warnings 40%

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South China Morning Post

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