China-US trade relations may reach a ‘tactical truce’, slowing down economic decoupling

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A recent survey by the American Chamber of Commerce in South China (AmCham South China) indicates growing confidence among companies in the region regarding US-China relations. Conducted in late 2025 with over 400 firms, the survey found that 39% of respondents have a positive outlook, a 14% increase from 2024. The report suggests a "tactical truce" in trade relations through 2026, slowing economic decoupling and focusing on non-sensitive sectors. This finding precedes a potential visit by US President Donald Trump to China in late March, the first such visit in nine years. While most firms anticipate intensified trade tensions in 2026, they believe the impact on their operations will be less severe than previously expected.
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