NEWSAR
Multi-perspective news intelligence
SRCSouth China Morning Post
LANGEN
LEANCenter-Right
WORDS303
ENT12
TUE · 2026-03-24 · 23:02 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0325-33740
News/US unlikely to convince China to join new nuclear arms contr…
NSR-2026-0325-33740News Report·EN·National Security

US unlikely to convince China to join new nuclear arms control agreement, experts say

Experts believe the US is unlikely to convince China to join a new nuclear arms control agreement in the near future, despite upcoming meetings between leaders. This comes after the New START treaty between the US and Russia expired, and the Trump administration has been pushing for a trilateral agreement including China.

Xinmei ShenSouth China Morning PostFiled 2026-03-24 · 23:02 GMTLean · Center-RightRead · 2 min
US unlikely to convince China to join new nuclear arms control agreement, experts say
South China Morning PostFIG 01
Reading time
2min
Word count
303words
Sources cited
2cited
Entities identified
12entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

Experts believe the US is unlikely to convince China to join a new nuclear arms control agreement in the near future, despite upcoming meetings between leaders. This comes after the New START treaty between the US and Russia expired, and the Trump administration has been pushing for a trilateral agreement including China. Analysts cite a lack of initiative from Washington, Moscow, and Beijing to pursue meaningful negotiations. China has little incentive to join, especially given international pressure declines with Trump's recent aggression towards Venezuela, Iran and Greenland. While Trump could raise the issue with Xi, experts suggest that substantive progress is unlikely.

Confidence 0.90Sources 2Claims 5Entities 12
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
National Security
Political Strategy
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.70 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
2
Limited
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

China denied conducting a nuclear test in 2020.

factual
Confidence
1.00
02

Trump threatened to resume nuclear testing after accusing China of secretly conducting a test in 2020.

factual
Confidence
1.00
03

The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New Start) expired on February 5.

factual
Confidence
1.00
04

I see very little creativity or initiative in any of the three capitals, Washington, Moscow or Beijing, to pursue new ideas.

quoteThomas Countryman
Confidence
0.90
05

There is little chance the US could bring China to the table on any nuclear arms control agreements in the short term.

predictionexperts
Confidence
0.80
§ 04

Full report

2 min read · 303 words
There is little chance the US could bring China to the table on any nuclear arms control agreements in the short term, despite upcoming leaders’ meetings this year, experts said on Tuesday, as the Trump administration pushes for a trilateral deal including China after the previous US-Russia treaty expired last month.There is “no shortage of good ideas” for how the upcoming summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping could move the world towards ending a nuclear arms race, Thomas Countryman, board chair of the Washington-based Arms Control Association, said during an online briefing. But none of the three nuclear superpowers are taking active steps towards a meaningful negotiation, he said.“I see very little creativity or initiative in any of the three capitals, Washington, Moscow or Beijing, to pursue new ideas,” he said. “It’s very much about scoring points in an eternal basketball game with no winners to see who can blame somebody else.”Trump could, however, simply make an argument to Xi at the summit that China needs to join nuclear negotiations, and “that would be the definition for Mr Trump of success”, Countryman added.02:37Trump orders US military to resume nuclear weapons tests for first time in 33 yearsTrump orders US military to resume nuclear weapons tests for first time in 33 yearsAfter the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New Start), the world’s last binding nuclear arms control agreement, expired on February 5, Trump floated an “improved” deal involving China. The US president then threatened to resume nuclear testing after accusing China of secretly conducting a test in 2020, which China denied.Beijing has little incentive to heed Washington’s requests, as international pressure on China declines with Trump’s recent aggression towards Venezuela, Iran and Greenland, Tong Zhao, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said at the Tuesday briefing.
§ 05

Entities

12 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

8 terms
nuclear arms control
1.00
china
0.90
united states
0.80
nuclear weapons
0.70
arms race
0.60
new start
0.50
summit
0.50
nuclear testing
0.40
§ 07

Topic connections

Interactive graph
Network visualization showing 51 related topics
View Full Graph
Person Organization Location Event|Click node to navigate|Edge numbers = shared articles