Routine Chinese activities are increasingly being framed as threats by Indian intelligence agencies, raising the risk of New Delhi miscalculating and taking “unilateral countermeasures” against Beijing, a Chinese academic has warned.India has stepped up intelligence-gathering as ties with neighbouring China turned sour in recent years, according to Zhao Ruoxi, a researcher with the Macau University of Science and Technology.Zhao made the remarks in a paper analysing India’s intelligence operations focused on China from 2020 to 2026. It was published on July 31 in the Chinese-language Journal of Intelligence, run by the Shaanxi Institute of Science and Technology Information.
SRCSouth China Morning Post
LANGEN
LEANCenter-Right
WORDS98
ENT9
MON · 2026-08-24 · 06:34 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0824-105257
NSR-2026-0824-105257Analysis·EN·Conflict
Why Indian intelligence-gathering against China could lead to miscalculation
A Chinese academic, Zhao Ruoxi of Macau University of Science and Technology, has warned that India's intelligence-gathering against China could lead to miscalculation. Zhao's analysis, published in the Journal of Intelligence, suggests that Indian intelligence agencies are increasingly interpreting routine Chinese activities as threats.
Fan ChenSouth China Morning PostFiled 2026-08-24 · 06:34 GMTLean · Center-RightRead · 1 min
South China Morning PostFIG 01
Reading time
1min
Word count
98words
Sources cited
1cited
Entities identified
9entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01
Briefing Summary
AI-generatedNEWSAR · AI
A Chinese academic, Zhao Ruoxi of Macau University of Science and Technology, has warned that India's intelligence-gathering against China could lead to miscalculation. Zhao's analysis, published in the Journal of Intelligence, suggests that Indian intelligence agencies are increasingly interpreting routine Chinese activities as threats. This heightened scrutiny, which has intensified as India-China ties have soured in recent years, raises the risk of New Delhi taking unilateral countermeasures against Beijing. The paper specifically examines India's intelligence operations targeting China between 2020 and 2026.
Confidence 0.85Sources 1Claims 5Entities 9
§ 02
Article analysis
Model · rule-basedFraming
Conflict
Diplomatic
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.40 / 1.00
Mixed
LowHigh
Sources cited
1
Limited
FewMany
§ 03
Key claims
5 extracted01
Zhao's remarks were made in a paper analyzing India’s intelligence operations focused on China from 2020 to 2026.
factual
Confidence
1.00
02
Zhao Ruoxi is a researcher with the Macau University of Science and Technology.
factual
Confidence
1.00
03
India has stepped up intelligence-gathering as ties with neighboring China turned sour in recent years.
quoteZhao Ruoxi
Confidence
0.90
04
This framing raises the risk of New Delhi miscalculating and taking unilateral countermeasures against Beijing.
quoteZhao Ruoxi
Confidence
0.90
05
Routine Chinese activities are increasingly framed as threats by Indian intelligence agencies.
quoteZhao Ruoxi
Confidence
0.90
§ 04
Full report
1 min read · 98 words§ 05
Entities
9 identifiedKey playerOppositionContextPositiveNeutralNegative
People1
Organizations3
§ 06
Keywords & salience
8 termschina
1.00
indian intelligence-gathering
1.00
miscalculation
0.90
unilateral countermeasures
0.80
intelligence agencies
0.70
india-china relations
0.60
threat perception
0.50
geopolitical risk
0.40
§ 07
Topic connections
Interactive graph Network visualization showing 51 related topics
View Full Graph Person Organization Location Event|Click node to navigate|Edge numbers = shared articles