Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off
A new poll by Quaest shows right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holding a slight lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of Brazil's October 25 run-off vote. Bolsonaro is projected to receive 46 percent of the vote compared to Lula's 44 percent, a margin within the poll's two-percent margin of error.

Briefing Summary
AI-generatedA new poll by Quaest shows right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holding a slight lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of Brazil's October 25 run-off vote. Bolsonaro is projected to receive 46 percent of the vote compared to Lula's 44 percent, a margin within the poll's two-percent margin of error. Bolsonaro had previously outperformed expectations in the first round of voting on October 4, narrowly beating Lula. Despite Lula's efforts to rally supporters through large rallies, Bolsonaro has maintained his lead in polls. Bolsonaro has been working to consolidate conservative support and secure endorsements from right and center-right parties, aiming to build a coalition favorable to business interests.
Article analysis
Model · rule-basedKey claims
5 extractedThe difference in the poll is within the two-percent margin of error.
The Quaest poll indicates Bolsonaro would receive 46 percent of the vote compared to Lula's 44 percent.
A new poll shows right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro with a slight lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of Brazil's run-off vote.
Bolsonaro outperformed expectations in the first round of voting, beating Lula by less than two points.
Bolsonaro has not benefitted as much from the elimination of conservative candidates as might have been expected.