The people betting on catastrophic world events – podcast

The Guardian - World NewsCenter-LeftEN 2 min read 100% complete by Presented by Annie Kelly with Saahil Desai; produced by Isaaq Tomkins, Alex Atack , Eli Block and Ross Burns; executive producer Homa KhaleeliFebruary 4, 2026 at 04:00 AM
The people betting on catastrophic world events – podcast

AI Summary

medium article 2 min

This podcast explores prediction market platforms, which allow users to bet on world events, highlighting a case where someone profited by predicting a hypothetical Trump-ordered attack on Venezuela. These platforms, experiencing growth since Trump's presidency, function similarly to stock markets, enabling users to invest based on their predictions. The podcast features Saahil Desai from The Atlantic, who raises concerns about media organizations partnering with these platforms, citing the potential for wealthy individuals to manipulate media coverage by influencing the odds. The podcast also examines the mechanics of prediction markets, their increasing prominence in the US, and Trump's reported interest in establishing his own platform.

Keywords

prediction markets 100% betting 80% world events 70% donald trump 60% forecast the future 50% media coverage 50% political risk 40% nicolás maduro 40%

Sentiment Analysis

Negative
Score: -0.30

Source Transparency

Source
The Guardian - World News
Political Lean
Center-Left (-0.40)
Far LeftCenterFar Right
Classification Confidence
90%

This article was automatically classified using rule-based analysis. The political bias score ranges from -1 (far left) to +1 (far right).

Topic Connections

Explore how the topics in this article connect to other news stories

No topic relationship data available yet. This graph will appear once topic relationships have been computed.
Explore Full Topic Graph