Immediate threat to Starmer has passed but his position remains precarious

Keir Starmer's leadership of Labour has passed an immediate threat, but his position remains precarious. The party's polling numbers are at historic lows, with the party trailing behind Reform and flirting with fourth place behind the Greens and Conservatives. A speech by Starmer in private to the parliamentary Labour party (PLP) on Monday evening appears to have persuaded some MPs to give him another chance. However, leadership change is a difficult process to reverse, as evidenced by previous attempts to oust Boris Johnson. A byelection in Gorton and Denton on February 26 could see Labour come third, partly due to Starmer's decision to exclude Andy Burnham from the ballot paper. Further embarrassment for the party may arise from upcoming releases of exchanges between Peter Mandelson and ministers.

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