The Philippines wants to seal South China Sea code of conduct. Can it deliver?

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The Philippines, as the new ASEAN chair, aims to finalize a legally binding code of conduct with China regarding the South China Sea in 2024. This initiative seeks to manage competing territorial claims in the region. However, analysts suggest that deep-seated disagreements between China and ASEAN, particularly regarding the legal nature of the code and a past international ruling against Beijing, make a final agreement unlikely. Escalating tensions between the Philippines and China further complicate the negotiation process. Increased frequency of working group meetings between ASEAN and China are planned to accelerate progress, but observers remain skeptical about the prospects for success.
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