Polls, preferences, potential defections: can Victoria’s Liberal party ward off the rising threat of One Nation?
As the Victorian state election nears, the Liberal party, led by Jess Wilson, faces increasing pressure regarding a potential deal with One Nation. Internal divisions have historically hindered the Liberal party's chances of winning.

Briefing Summary
AI-generatedAs the Victorian state election nears, the Liberal party, led by Jess Wilson, faces increasing pressure regarding a potential deal with One Nation. Internal divisions have historically hindered the Liberal party's chances of winning. However, One Nation is emerging as a new threat from the right, potentially siphoning off votes. In the previous election four years ago, One Nation received a small percentage of the lower house vote (0.22%) but did secure one upper house seat. The Liberal party's response to One Nation's growing influence could significantly impact the election's outcome.
Article analysis
Model · rule-basedKey claims
4 extractedOne Nation won a single seat in the upper house four years ago.
One Nation received 8,077 lower house first-preference votes in Victoria four years ago.
Opposition leader Jess Wilson is under pressure to reveal her position on a deal with Pauline Hanson’s party.
Internal divisions have long been the Victorian Liberal party’s main obstacle to winning government.