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SRCThe Guardian - World News
LANGEN
LEANCenter-Left
WORDS473
ENT12
TUE · 2026-03-24 · 21:07 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0324-33610
News/California governor poll raises prospect of two Republicans …
NSR-2026-0324-33610News Report·EN·Political Strategy

California governor poll raises prospect of two Republicans contesting runoff

A recent poll commissioned by the California Democratic party indicates that two Republicans, Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, are leading in the state's gubernatorial primary race. The poll, along with similar findings from a UC Berkeley poll, reveals a crowded field of Democratic candidates, with Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer in a close contest for the Democratic vote.

Dani AnguianoThe Guardian - World NewsFiled 2026-03-24 · 21:07 GMTLean · Center-LeftRead · 2 min
California governor poll raises prospect of two Republicans contesting runoff
The Guardian - World NewsFIG 01
Reading time
2min
Word count
473words
Sources cited
4cited
Entities identified
12entities
Quality score
100%
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Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

A recent poll commissioned by the California Democratic party indicates that two Republicans, Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, are leading in the state's gubernatorial primary race. The poll, along with similar findings from a UC Berkeley poll, reveals a crowded field of Democratic candidates, with Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer in a close contest for the Democratic vote. With California's top-two primary system, where the top two candidates advance regardless of party, there's a growing concern among Democrats that a split vote could lead to two Republicans advancing to the November election. The California Democratic party has urged candidates with low polling numbers to withdraw from the race to avoid this outcome, but only one candidate has done so. The primary election is in June.

Confidence 0.90Sources 4Claims 5Entities 12
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Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Political Strategy
Conflict
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.80 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
4
Well sourced
FewMany
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Key claims

5 extracted
01

The University of Southern California cancelled a debate amid criticism for not including any candidates of color.

factualArticle itself
Confidence
1.00
02

Congressman Eric Swalwell, former Representative Katie Porter and billionaire Tom Steyer each had support from 10% of people surveyed.

statisticArticle itself, based on poll results
Confidence
1.00
03

16% of participants would back Steve Hilton, while 14% would support Chad Bianco in the upcoming primary, according to the Evitarus Research poll.

statisticEvitarus Research poll
Confidence
1.00
04

Voters remain largely disengaged and unenthusiastic about the candidates and the election.

quoteMark DiCamillo, the director of the Berkeley IGS Poll
Confidence
0.90
05

Republicans continue to lead the California governor’s race amid a crowded field of Democrats, a new poll commissioned by the state’s Democratic party found.

factualArticle itself, based on poll results
Confidence
0.90
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Full report

2 min read · 473 words
Republicans continue to lead the California governor’s race amid a crowded field of Democrats, a new poll commissioned by the state’s Democratic party found, fueling concerns of a conservative win in the famously liberal state.The party on Tuesday published the results of a large-scale poll of 2,000 likely voters conducted by Evitarus Research that revealed that 16% of participants would back the conservative political commentator Steve Hilton in the upcoming primary, while 14% would support Chad Bianco, the Riverside county sheriff.Meanwhile, three Democrats were in a dead heat. Congressman Eric Swalwell, former Representative Katie Porter and billionaire environmental activist Tom Steyer each had support from 10% of people surveyed.The results were somewhat similar to a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll released last week in which Hilton and Bianco were in the lead with 17% and 16% respectively, while Swalwell had 14%, Porter came in with 13% and Steyer had 10%.“Voters remain largely disengaged and unenthusiastic about the candidates and the election,” Mark DiCamillo, the director of the Berkeley IGS Poll, said in a statement announcing the results of that survey.In California, the top two candidates in the June primary will advance to the November election regardless of their party affiliation. At least eight Democrats are in the running to replace the outgoing governor, Gavin Newsom, and even candidates with low polling have stayed in the race despite pleas from the California Democratic Party for them to drop out.Earlier this month, Rusty Hicks, the party chair, warned the crowded field could lead to an “unlikely” but “possible” Republican win and urged candidates without a “viable path” in the race to withdraw. Just one candidate did so.Along with the top three Democrats, the candidates include the former health and human services secretary and state attorney general Xavier Becerra, San Jose’s mayor, Matt Mahan, state schools superintendent Tony Thurmond, former Los Angeles mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and former state controller Betty Yee.The Evitarus poll showed Becerra, Villaraigosa and Mahan with 3%, Yee with 2% and Thurmond with 1%. But it also suggested voters were not particularly engaged in the race as 24% said they were undecided and not leaning toward any single candidate.Controversy has sprung up around the race and the Democratic party’s position that candidates with little support should end their campaigns. Thurmond said earlier this month that the political system was rigged and that the party was “essentially telling every candidate of color in the race for governor to drop out”.The University of Southern California was set to hold a debate featuring Hilton, Bianco, Swalwell, Porter, Steyer and Mahan on Tuesday, but cancelled the event the night before amid criticism for not including any candidates of color.Hilton described the move as “yet another example of insane Democrat incompetence” and suggested that the Trump administration should suspend federal funding to USC over the cancellation.
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Entities

12 identified
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Keywords & salience

10 terms
california governor race
1.00
republican candidates
0.90
democratic party
0.80
primary election
0.70
polling data
0.60
conservative win
0.60
voter engagement
0.50
crowded field
0.50
steve hilton
0.40
chad bianco
0.40
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