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FRI · 2026-06-12 · 06:23 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0612-83807
News/Are Iran, US really close to a breakthro/Trump is raising expectations that this time he really will …
NSR-2026-0612-83807News Report·EN·Diplomatic

Trump is raising expectations that this time he really will close deal with Iran to wind down war

President Donald Trump announced on Thursday that the U.S. is close to reaching an agreement with Iran to end a three-month war, with a memorandum of understanding expected to be signed over the weekend, potentially in Europe.

By  AAMER MADHANI, FARNOUSH AMIRI and LISA MASCAROAssociated Press (AP)Filed 2026-06-12 · 06:23 GMTLean · CenterRead · 7 min
Trump is raising expectations that this time he really will close deal with Iran to wind down war
Associated Press (AP)FIG 01
Reading time
7min
Word count
1 669words
Sources cited
1cited
Entities identified
10entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

President Donald Trump announced on Thursday that the U.S. is close to reaching an agreement with Iran to end a three-month war, with a memorandum of understanding expected to be signed over the weekend, potentially in Europe. Trump expressed confidence that Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has agreed to the deal, which he described as "very strong" and aimed at preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons. This announcement follows recent threats by Trump to escalate military action and seize control of Iran's oil industry. Despite previous claims of being close to a deal that did not materialize, Trump believes this time is different, citing Iran's desire to reach an agreement. The war has been unpopular with Americans and has impacted global oil markets. The potential deal will be a significant event for Trump's presidency, occurring alongside the return of the World Cup to the U.S. and his 80th birthday celebration.

Confidence 0.90Sources 1Claims 4Entities 10
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Diplomatic
Political Strategy
Tone
Mixed Tone
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.60 / 1.00
Mixed
LowHigh
Sources cited
1
Limited
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

4 extracted
01

The article includes images of President Trump signing a proclamation about the fishing industry on June 11, 2026.

factual
Confidence
1.00
02

President Trump was asked if Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei agreed to the deal, and he responded, 'I understand the answer is yes'.

quotePresident Donald Trump
Confidence
1.00
03

President Donald Trump stated the U.S. is close to signing a settlement with Iran to wind down the war.

quotePresident Donald Trump
Confidence
1.00
04

A memorandum of understanding is likely to be signed over the next few days, possibly in Europe.

predictionPresident Donald Trump
Confidence
0.80
§ 04

Full report

7 min read · 1 669 words
Trump is raising expectations that this time he really will close Iran" class="entity-link entity-topic" data-entity-id="145029" data-entity-type="topic">deal with Iran to wind down war 1 of 4 | “I understand the answer is yes” President Donald Trump said when asked by reporters if Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has agreed to the deal aimed at winding down the conflict. 2 of 4 | President Donald Trump said Thursday the U.S. is close to signing “a great settlement” with Iran to wind down the war, with a memorandum of understanding to be signed “over the next few days,” likely in Europe. 3 of 4 | Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick speaks before President Donald Trump, in foreground, signs a proclamation about the fishing industry, in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, June 11, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) 4 of 4 | President Donald Trump is pictured during an event where he signs a proclamation about the fishing industry, in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, June 11, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) 1 of 4 “I understand the answer is yes” President Donald Trump said when asked by reporters if Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has agreed to the deal aimed at winding down the conflict. Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Share 2 of 4 President Donald Trump said Thursday the U.S. is close to signing “a great settlement” with Iran to wind down the war, with a memorandum of understanding to be signed “over the next few days,” likely in Europe. Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Share 3 of 4 | Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick speaks before President Donald Trump, in foreground, signs a proclamation about the fishing industry, in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, June 11, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) 3 of 4 Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick speaks before President Donald Trump, in foreground, signs a proclamation about the fishing industry, in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, June 11, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Share 4 of 4 | President Donald Trump is pictured during an event where he signs a proclamation about the fishing industry, in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, June 11, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) 4 of 4 President Donald Trump is pictured during an event where he signs a proclamation about the fishing industry, in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, June 11, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Share Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] Washington (AP) — President Donald Trump has long been looking for this weekend to be a big one for his presidency.The World Cup returns to the U.S. on Friday for the first time in 32 years after Trump threw himself into winning the bid to co-host the soccer tourney during his first term. He’ll be feted Sunday, his 80th birthday, during a UFC fight night that’s expected to draw thousands to the White House grounds. Hours after the final bout, he’s scheduled to jet off to the G7 summit in the French Alps for talks with several world leaders he’s been beefing with over war and tariffs.But Trump set expectations even higher for the coming days when he announced Thursday that the U.S. and Iran could come to terms this weekend on an agreement that would set the pathway to end the three-month-old war that’s been broadly unpopular with Americans and has rattled global oil markets. He said he plans to dispatch Vice President JD Vance to the signing of the agreement. Trump has said on several occasions in recent weeks that he’s on the cusp of a deal without anything coming to fruition. A spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry told state television following Trump’s comments that mediators were active but nothing had been finalized to end the conflict. 3 MIN READ 2 MIN READ 5 MIN READ Still, Trump is claiming this time might be different.The breakthrough comes after he threatened to escalate the conflict with more intense bombardment of Iran and by seizing control of Iran’s oil industry, including capturing Iran’s vital Kharg Island oil facility. The president’s threats followed back-and-forth strikes this week that had rendered a temporary ceasefire agreed to in early April all but meaningless. “They’ve taken a pounding like very few people could take,” Trump said in an Oval Office exchange with reporters as he explained why he was confident that, this time, a deal would come through. “And they want to make the deal a lot more than I do.” Trump offered scant details about the settlement he says is taking shape, but told reporters that he believed the Iranian supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who is believed to have been wounded on the first day of the war and has not been seen in public since, is ready to sign off on the deal.Trump is billing the deal as “very strong,” though he says it remains “a little conceptual,” and says it would ensure Iran is blocked from ever developing a nuclear weapon. Trump’s heightened threats are aimed at creating an off-rampWith the conflict intensifying over the past week, Trump’s threat to escalate U.S. military action seemed in part aimed at demonstrating to the hawkish flank of his political base that he was willing to play “hardball” with the Iranians if they didn’t come to a deal soon, said Ali Vaez, Iran director at the International Crisis Group. Trump in March warned he would target Iran’s infrastructure and put American troops on Kharg Island before he ultimately backed down, and the two countries agreed to the temporary ceasefire.Almost immediately after raising the idea again on social media Thursday, Trump appeared to back away. He called into a morning show on Fox News Channel and questioned whether Americans had the “stomach” for an option that would require putting U.S. troops in harm’s way. Hours later, Trump announced he had decided to cancel orders for “very hard” strikes on Iran and said a deal was close. Vaez said even as Trump was posting on social media Thursday about escalating strikes, mediators from Pakistan, Turkey and Qatar had been making progress in their talks with Iran.At the same time, Iran also may have reset the equation for Trump with its decision last weekend to attack Israel directly for the first time since the ceasefire after Israeli forces carried out military strikes on Iranian-backed Hezbollah militants in Lebanon. With the move, Iran signaled that Israel could no longer bomb Lebanon without facing a meaningful reaction and in the process also raised the cost for the U.S. to follow through on its commitment to help safeguard Israel.“It really does appear to me that Trump wants to bring this to an end, but his real challenge is that he’s looking for a victory lap and an exit ramp and those two things are not necessarily compatible,” Vaez said. Trump expresses frustration with war narrativeTrump has been boasting since the early weeks of the conflict that he’d already won the war — much of the Islamic Republic’s leadership has been killed in the bombings and the Iranian navy and air force have been severely degraded.But Iran continues to effectively keep the Strait of Hormuz closed, choking a waterway through which about 20% of the world’s oil supply passed before the war, and has yet to agree to restart negotiations with the U.S. over its concerns about Iran’s nuclear program, the main reason Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gave to justify launching the war. But the real problem, Trump grumbled Thursday, was largely a public relations issue. “They could wave the white flag of surrender. They could say: ‘We surrender, we surrender, we’re finished, we’ve had it. The United States is the greatest power, praise be to Allah,’” Trump said on Fox News. “They could say it loud and clear. And the fake news would say it was a great victory for Iran.”Rep. Michael McCaul, R-Texas, a former chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said Trump has grown impatient with Iran and the renewed strikes and threats on Kharg Island and Iran’s energy sector were intended to get the negotiations back to the “right place.”Polls show that the conflict is largely unpopular with Americans. McCaul said he believes the Iranians want to “try to drag this out as long as they can,” closer to the midterm elections in November, because they see that as being to their benefit.War will be high on agenda at next week’s G7Deal or no deal, the war will loom large during next week’s talks at the Group of Seven summit in bucolic Évian-les-Bains, France. Trump has frequently criticized some of the group leaders — British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz — for resisting his calls to aid the U.S. and Israeli war effort.The four leaders have also angered Trump by criticizing how he’s gone about executing the war and his lack of consultation with allies before jumping into a conflict that’s hurt the global economy as oil prices have surged.But Trump said he is optimistic he could have an agreement before his talks with leaders in France.“The strait will officially open as soon as we sign, which could be soon, very soon — maybe over the weekend in Europe,” Trump said. Madhani is a White House reporter for the Associated Press whose reporting focuses on U.S. foreign policy. Contact him securely on Signal at aamermadhani.39 Amiri covers foreign policy and the United Nations as a correspondent for The Associated Press, based in New York.
§ 05

Entities

10 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

8 terms
iran deal
1.00
wind down war
0.90
president donald trump
0.80
settlement
0.70
memorandum of understanding
0.60
ayatollah mojtaba khamenei
0.50
europe
0.40
fishing industry
0.40
§ 07

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