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MON · 2026-01-19 · 07:23 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0119-8591
News/China’s population falls again as births drop 17% a decade a…
NSR-2026-0119-8591News Report·EN·Economic Impact

China’s population falls again as births drop 17% a decade after the 1-child policy ended

China's population is declining, with births dropping 17% a decade after the end of the one-child policy. Despite ending the restrictive policy and implementing measures like cash subsidies and proposed taxes on condoms, the government has not yet succeeded in reversing the trend.

By  HUIZHONG WUAssociated Press (AP)Filed 2026-01-19 · 07:23 GMTLean · CenterRead · 4 min
China’s population falls again as births drop 17% a decade after the 1-child policy ended
Associated Press (AP)FIG 01
Reading time
4min
Word count
882words
Sources cited
0cited
Entities identified
5entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

China's population is declining, with births dropping 17% a decade after the end of the one-child policy. Despite ending the restrictive policy and implementing measures like cash subsidies and proposed taxes on condoms, the government has not yet succeeded in reversing the trend. Authorities are now trying various initiatives to encourage more births after generations of limiting family size. The population figures indicate that these efforts to boost the birth rate have not been effective to date. The situation highlights the challenge of changing societal norms and family planning decisions after decades of strict population control.

Confidence 0.90Claims 5Entities 5
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Economic Impact
Political Strategy
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.80 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
0
No named sources
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

The number of new babies born was just 7.92 million in 2025, a decline of 1.62 million, or 17%.

statistic
Confidence
1.00
02

The total population in 2025 stood at 1.404 billion, which was 3 million less than the previous year.

statistic
Confidence
1.00
03

China’s population of 1.4 billion continued to shrink, marking the fourth straight year of decrease.

factual
Confidence
1.00
04

Authorities are pushing a whole range of ideas and policies to try and encourage more births.

factual
Confidence
1.00
05

China’s population falls again as births drop 17% a decade after the 1-child policy ended.

factual
Confidence
1.00
§ 04

Full report

4 min read · 882 words
China’s population falls again as births drop 17% a decade after the 1-child policy ended 1 of 5 | People carry their toddlers by a toy store in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 19, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) 2 of 5 | Women carry a toddler across a street in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 19, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) 3 of 5 | A woman lifts up a child in Beijing, China, on Jan. 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) 4 of 5 | People catch a sight of the snow-covered Forbidden City from a pavilion with lantern decorations at the Jingshan Park a day after the snow fall, in Beijing, Sunday, Jan. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) 5 of 5 | People catch a sight of the snow-covered Forbidden City from a pavilion with lantern decorations at the Jingshan Park a day after the snow fall, in Beijing, Sunday, Jan. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) 1 of 5 People carry their toddlers by a toy store in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 19, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 2 of 5 Women carry a toddler across a street in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 19, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 3 of 5 A woman lifts up a child in Beijing, China, on Jan. 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 4 of 5 People catch a sight of the snow-covered Forbidden City from a pavilion with lantern decorations at the Jingshan Park a day after the snow fall, in Beijing, Sunday, Jan. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 5 of 5 People catch a sight of the snow-covered Forbidden City from a pavilion with lantern decorations at the Jingshan Park a day after the snow fall, in Beijing, Sunday, Jan. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] Bangkok (AP) — How do you convince a population to have more babies after generations of a policy that limited families to just one?A decade after ending China’s longtime, one-child policy, authorities are pushing a whole range of ideas and policies to try and encourage more births, ranging from cash subsidies to taxing condoms. The efforts haven’t paid off yet. At least, that is what population figures released Monday show for what is now the world’s second-most populous nation.China’s population of 1.4 billion continued to shrink, marking the fourth straight year of decrease, new government statistics show. The total population in 2025 stood at 1.404 billion, which was 3 million less than the previous year.The statistics illustrate the stark demographic pressures the country faces. The number of new babies born was just 7.92 million in 2025, a decline of 1.62 million, or 17%. The latest birth numbers show the slight tick upwards in 2024 was not a lasting trend. Births declined for seven years in a row through 2023. Most families cite the costs and pressure of raising a child in a highly competitive society as significant hurdles that now loom larger in the face of an economic downturn that has impacted households struggling to meet their living costs. Like many other countries in Asia, China has faced a declining fertility rate, or the average number of babies a woman is expected to have in her lifetime. While the government does not regularly publish a fertility rate, last saying it was 1.3 in 2020, experts have estimated it is now around 1. Both figures are far below the 2.1 rate that would maintain the size of China’s population. Measured another way, the birth rate in 2025 is the lowest on record. The rate of 5.63% is the number of births per 1,000 people.After decades of a policy barring people from having more than one baby, the government raised the limit to two children in 2015. Facing demographic pressure, the government further revised the limit to three kids in 2021. Officials have had limited success with policy changes to incentivize families to have more children. In July, the government announced cash subsidies of 3,600 yuan ($500) per child to families. Coupling incentives with other attempts to mold behavior, the government also has started taxing condoms. China removed contraceptives, including condoms, from a value-added tax exemption list in 2025, meaning condoms are now being hit with a 13% tax that kicked into effect Jan. 1. To further promote child-rearing, kindergartens and daycares have been added to the tax-exemption list along with matchmaking services. China was long the world’s most populous nation until 2023, when it was surpassed by regional neighbor and sometime rival India. ___Shihuan Chen in Beijing contributed to this report. Wu covers Chinese culture, society, and politics for The Associated Press, as well as the country’s growing overseas influence from Bangkok. She was previously based in Taiwan and China.
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Entities

5 identified
Key playerOppositionContextPositiveNeutralNegative
OOrganizations1
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Keywords & salience

7 terms
china
1.00
population decline
0.90
one-child policy
0.90
birth rate
0.80
encourage births
0.70
cash subsidies
0.60
demographics
0.50
§ 07

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