If timing is everything, then
Allison Kirkby may have judged it perfectly.Since becoming
BT’s first female chief executive more than two years ago the company’s share price has climbed 80%, an investor-pleasing turnaround that has seen Kirkby well-rewarded with a pay and bonus package of £5.6m last year, the largest for a boss of the telecoms company in well over a decade. However, there are questions over how much credit Kirkby can take for the apparent revival of the business.Last week, the 58-year-old Glaswegian, who joined
BT’s board in 2019 while chief executive of Swedish telecoms company
Telia, received plaudits for finally engineering a solution to deal with the group’s struggling international division.The division has been a drag on
BT for years and an exit – to focus on making the company a “national champion” – has been tortuously trickling along since a scandal at
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BT Italia wiped more than £8bn off its market value a decade ago and ultimately cost the former chief executive
Gavin Patterson his job.And as years of huge investment in addressing the UK’s status as a global internet laggard taper off,
full-fibre broadband now covers more than two-thirds of the UK and
BT could be churning out £3bn in annual free cashflow by the end of the decade.The need for fewer engineers and the rollout of AI will see
BT’s workforce shrink by about 40% to about 75,000 by the end of the decade, with Kirkby last month raising the company’s savings target from £3bn to £3.7bn.However, there are those who believe that the foundations for much of the benefit that Kirkby is now reaping were laid by her predecessor,
Philip Jansen.Jansen’s tenure has been characterised as that of a wartime general, from instigating only the third dividend cut in
BT’s history to pay for the national infrastructure upgrade, while also facing a pandemic and the company’s first national strike in 35 years, to huge staff and cost cuts and off-loading the costly
BT Sport pay-TV business.“I think she inherited a good hand with a lot of good fundamentals in place; some might say she has been a lucky general, but she has also been a driving force,” says one former senior executive. “She is no-nonsense, a clever operator, and subsequent decisions have been smart. And she is still facing plenty of challenges.”
Sunil Bharti Mittal, the Indian telecoms billionaire who is
BT’s largest shareholder, and another senior executive from his company have taken seats on
BT’s board.While Kirkby does not need to worry about a potential takeover attempt – the government has said it would block any increase on his current 24.5% holding to maintain control over “national sovereign infrastructure” – there is added pressure to grow in a competitive market.
BT is facing competition from a resurgent Vodafone, which overtook EE as the UK’s biggest mobile operator after a mega-merger to create VodafoneThree and which has seen its market value surge a quarter over the last year. Shares in
BT, which reported a 3% decline in total revenues last year, have fallen more than 3% over the same period.A U-turn on a decision to retire the venerable
BT as its flagship consumer brand in favour of EE has also proved confusing. The relaunch of the brand, which included sponsorship of Euro 2028 and the return of
BT Mobile, was held in May at Wembley, where EE has been the stadium sponsor and lead partner since 2014.“It is going to be confusing because it is flip-flopping,” says Polly Hopkins, UK managing director of branding agency Elmwood London. “But the rationale behind it is sensible. As a brand
BT is emotionally hard-wired into our culture; EE has only delivered in the mobile space really, and what they are trying to do is be seen as the nation’s brand for all connectivity. It makes sense.”
BT’s fightback is bearing fruit with subscriber numbers across its consumer operations – EE, broadband, mobile and television – showing growth for the first time in eight years.It has been haemorrhaging customers at its infrastructure arm, Openreach, losing 825,000 broadband customers last year in the fight against heavily discounting “alt-net” rivals.The company is forecasting it will lose another 800,000 this year, which will take the total over a five-year period to 3.2m, almost 16% of its current 21 million user broadband base.However, losses have now peaked and are expected to fall to 288,000 annually by 2030.Kirkby has been vocal about her frustrations at the value of Openreach, which will reach 30m homes with
full-fibre broadband by 2030, not being reflected in
BT’s £19bn market value. Analysts at New Street Research estimate that Openreach is worth £30bn on its own.“Openreach is the perennial question,” says Matthew Howett, chief executive of Assembly Research. “Looking at the future, the big one is realising the value of the constituent parts of
BT. The wider group does not reflect the value of its constituents. Openreach is now probably the most valuable component of that, particularly when the fibre build is complete. How will she realise that?”Every few years there is speculation that
BT may look to sell the whole or part of Openreach, but this has always been dismissed due to the complexities involved, mostly relating to the
BT pension scheme which the telecoms company pays hundreds of millions into annually.However, one insider says that by 2030, as the numbers in the scheme start to drop more quickly due to age (the main
BT pension scheme closed to new members in 2001), the value could finally be realised – and maybe under Kirkby.When asked why he was drawn to leading companies with immense challenges, fellow Scot Adam Crozier,
BT’s chair who has also led Royal Mail and ITV, once attributed it to a trait he described as “thrawn”, a Scots word meaning difficult or intractable.To achieve her aims at
BT, the no-nonsense Kirkby will need to be thrawn.