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SRCThe Guardian - World News
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LEANCenter-Left
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ENT12
THU · 2026-07-09 · 13:27 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0709-91606
News/Andy Burnham urged to scrap income tax and NI in radical fis…
NSR-2026-0709-91606News Report·EN·Economic Impact

Andy Burnham urged to scrap income tax and NI in radical fiscal overhaul

Prominent economists, including Jim O'Neill and Jonathan Portes, have urged Andy Burnham, expected to become Prime Minister, to implement a radical fiscal overhaul. In an open letter, they propose replacing six key taxes, such as income tax and national insurance, with a single "national contribution" levied on all income.

Heather Stewart Economics editorThe Guardian - World NewsFiled 2026-07-09 · 13:27 GMTLean · Center-LeftRead · 3 min
Andy Burnham urged to scrap income tax and NI in radical fiscal overhaul
The Guardian - World NewsFIG 01
Reading time
3min
Word count
557words
Sources cited
6cited
Entities identified
12entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

Prominent economists, including Jim O'Neill and Jonathan Portes, have urged Andy Burnham, expected to become Prime Minister, to implement a radical fiscal overhaul. In an open letter, they propose replacing six key taxes, such as income tax and national insurance, with a single "national contribution" levied on all income. This reform, based on a report from the Institute for Global Prosperity, aims to raise an additional £75 billion annually for public services. The report also suggests replacing stamp duty and council tax with a national property levy. The economists argue this would address structural issues causing deteriorating public services despite rising taxes. Questions have been raised about the report's financial assumptions.

Confidence 0.90Sources 6Claims 5Entities 12
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Economic Impact
Political Strategy
Tone
Mixed Tone
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.60 / 1.00
Mixed
LowHigh
Sources cited
6
Well sourced
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

Prosperity 2030 suggests replacing six key taxes with a single levy called 'national contributions'.

factualProsperity 2030 report
Confidence
1.00
02

Prominent economists are urging Andy Burnham to pursue radical tax and spending reform.

factualArticle
Confidence
1.00
03

The country spends £100bn a year in debt interest, more than the entire defence budget and equivalent to half of NHS spending.

statisticOpen letter signatories
Confidence
0.90
04

Taxes in Britain are rising faster than in any comparable economy while public services deteriorate.

factualOpen letter signatories
Confidence
0.80
05

This new levy could raise an additional £75bn a year within five years.

statisticProsperity 2030 report authors
Confidence
0.70
§ 04

Full report

3 min read · 557 words
Prominent economists including Jim O’Neill, an ally of Andy Burnham, are urging the MP for Makerfield to pursue radical tax and spending reform to “unlock the gridlock that plagues the country” when he is confirmed as prime minister.O’Neill joins Jonathan Portes, an economics professor at King’s College London, and Danny Sriskandarajah, the chief executive of the New Economics Foundation, in calling for bold action in an open letter.They write: “Taxes in Britain are rising faster than in any comparable economy while public services deteriorate. The country spends £100bn a year in debt interest, more than the entire defence budget and equivalent to half of NHS spending.“Seven prime ministers in 10 years have inherited the same challenge and failed to solve it for the same reasons: the problems are structural and systemic.”Other signatories to the letter include John Muellbauer, a senior research fellow of Nuffield College, Oxford, who has long advocated property tax reform, and Prof Henrietta Moore, the director of the Institute for Global Prosperity at University College London.They suggest the starting point should be the blueprint for a drastic overhaul of tax and public services laid out in a new report from the institute, published on Thursday. Prosperity 2030 suggests replacing six key taxes, including income tax, capital gains tax, inheritance tax and national insurance contributions, with a single levy.These “national contributions” would be paid on all income, regardless of whether from work, from the sale of assets or from a late relative’s estate.The authors of the report claim that depending on the rate it was set at, this could raise a whopping additional £75bn a year within five years. They call for the proceeds of these and other tax reforms, including a trebling of air-passenger duty, to be spent on providing universal services to the public – including free bus services and free lunches for all primary schoolchildren, for example.Moore said: “Prosperity 2030 is about rebuilding the systems that shape everyday life, work, care, housing, skills and the cost of living. It is a plan for an economy that measures success by whether people can live secure, dignified and hopeful lives.”Dan Neidle, a tax expert from the consultancy Tax Policy Associates, has raised questions about the plausibility of Prosperity 2030’s assumptions, saying: “I don’t see where the numbers come from.”The report also advocates scrapping stamp duty and council tax in favour of a national 1% levy on the value of property, with the proceeds remitted to local authorities, according to their population.The latter proposal echoes a suggestion made by the Sheffield Hallam MP Louise Haigh, a key member of Burnham’s team, in a recent pamphlet for the Tribune group of Labour MPs. Burnham himself has talked about the benefits of a “land value tax” levied on property.Policy wonks from across Labour and beyond are vying to influence the incoming regime. Burnham is expected to be confirmed as Labour leader on 17 July when nominations close and to take over from Keir Starmer as prime minister on 20 July.A critical early decision will be who to appoint as chancellor, with the energy secretary, Ed Miliband, regarded as the most likely choice.O’Neill, a crossbench peer and former chief economist at Goldman Sachs, has collaborated with Burnham in Manchester. He has been mooted as a potential senior adviser to the PM-in-waiting, though no formal announcement has been made.
§ 05

Entities

12 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

10 terms
tax reform
1.00
fiscal overhaul
1.00
income tax
0.90
national insurance
0.90
public services
0.80
prosperity 2030
0.70
universal services
0.60
economic policy
0.50
andy burnham
0.40
tax and spending
0.40
§ 07

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