China needs a stronger yuan and ‘fiscal boost’ to drive near-term growth: Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs economists have advised China to allow its currency, the yuan, to appreciate gradually. This recommendation stems from data in the first half of 2026 indicating a bifurcated Chinese economy with weak domestic demand and strong exports.

Briefing Summary
AI-generatedGoldman Sachs economists have advised China to allow its currency, the yuan, to appreciate gradually. This recommendation stems from data in the first half of 2026 indicating a bifurcated Chinese economy with weak domestic demand and strong exports. According to the economists, a stronger yuan would help safeguard against foreign protectionist measures and facilitate a return to external balance. They also suggest a "fiscal boost" to support domestic demand, which is crucial for China to meet its economic growth targets. Goldman Sachs believes the yuan's nominal exchange rate is currently undervalued by approximately 20 percent.
Article analysis
Model · rule-basedKey claims
5 extractedA gradual exchange-rate appreciation should help facilitate a return to external balance and mitigate protectionist pressures.
China should boost spending to support domestic demand to meet its economic growth targets.
China should let its currency appreciate gradually to safeguard against foreign protectionist moves.
The yuan nominal exchange rate was about 20 per cent undervalued.
The Chinese economy in the first half of 2026 showed weak domestic demand and strong exports.