Why
Moscow is staying tight-lipped on Trump's energy ceasefire 2 hours ago Share Save Add as preferred on Google Steve RosenbergBBC
Russia editor Reuters Employees of
DTEK energy company in
Ukraine work to restore power supply following a missile strike in July On Sunday, US President
Donald Trump announced that
Russia and
Ukraine had agreed a ceasefire on strikes on
energy infrastructure "effective immediately".
Ukraine's
Volodymyr Zelensky suggested it was "news for me", while
Russia has not commented publicly.
Donald Trump says an energy ceasefire has been agreed. Russian President
Vladimir Putin's spokesman
Dmitry Peskov was asked whether such a ceasefire had been agreed during his daily conference call with journalists. "As soon as we have anything to say about this, we will definitely inform you." Peskov may not have had much to say on the matter, but the pro-Kremlin media has. It has dubbed President Trump's announcement of an energy ceasefire "a gift" for
Moscow. "Of course we benefit," pro-government news outlet
Moskovsky Komsomolets concluded. "It means that all
Russia has to do is not destroy
Ukraine's last remaining oil refinery. "That has already been attacked several times. It's barely functioning anyway. "But Kyiv won't be allowed to hit the multitude of refineries we have. "In effect it's a one-way deal that benefits us. That's why no one here has officially rejected it." In other words,
Moscow believes Trump's announcement ties
Ukraine's hands, not
Russia's. In recent months, long-range Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil facilities have caused extensive damage, as well as fuel shortages across the country. Should such attacks continue, expect the Russians to claim that Kyiv is harming US economic interests – as well as the
Republican Party's chances in the midterm elections in November. Russian officials will argue that the strikes undermine the recent Trump-Putin fuel deal for the US to import Russian diesel. Trump has claimed the agreement will benefit US consumers, although there is widespread scepticism that the volumes involved will do much to lower fuel prices. SPUTNIK/KREMLIN POOL/EPA/Shutterstock
Vladimir Putin has shown little desire to stop the fighting Still, the Kremlin will be only too happy if Ukrainian drone strikes on oil facilities spark fury in the White House and curtail US support for Kyiv.
Moscow would welcome Washington cutting off intelligence sharing to
Ukraine and weapons sales to Europe that are destined for Kyiv. It has already delighted to hear Trump declaring: "I think it's time for
Ukraine to get a new president." Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelensky has called for a 60-day Russian ceasefire to allow for presidential elections in
Ukraine. "The Kremlin, the president, has said many times before, we don't want a ceasefire, we want a lasting peace, and we're willing to do whatever's possible for that," Peskov said. "Whatever's possible" does not include a 60-day ceasefire, or a 30-day ceasefire, or anything close to that. On Monday, the Kremlin proposed a one-day cessation of hostilities for
Ukraine to hold elections. That will not be seen in
Ukraine, or in the West, as a serious offer. Putin has shown little desire to halt the fighting. Recent statements, speeches and signals from
Russia's leader suggest that, with winter approaching, the Kremlin is counting on a continued campaign of Russian strikes to significantly increase the pressure on
Ukraine. On Monday,
Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said
Ukraine does not deserve the "respite" a ceasefire would bring. The Kremlin has claimed to seek "lasting peace" but right now it is continuing the fighting. On Monday, Zelensky claimed that
Russia had hit several energy targets across
Ukraine during the night and into the morning. "This window of opportunity should be used to knock
Ukraine back to the Stone Age and force it to accept peace on
Russia's terms," the pro-government
Moskovsky Komsomolets has written. The Kremlin's objective hasn't changed:
Ukraine's capitulation.
Moscow seems to believe that the diesel deal with Trump and the US president's growing impatience with Zelensky will help
Russia secure its goal. Six Ukrainian energy sites hit by
Russia since Trump announced ceasefire, Zelensky says Zelensky backs Trump's 'energy ceasefire' but says
Russia continues to hit power plants Analysis: Trump's shock
Russia deal highlights mounting pressure to curb fuel prices
Volodymyr Zelensky War in
Ukraine Russia Donald Trump Vladimir Putin Ukraine