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SRCSouth China Morning Post
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WORDS181
ENT7
FRI · 2026-01-30 · 08:14 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0130-11889
News/China’s presence at Scarborough Shoal in South China Sea ‘un…
NSR-2026-0130-11889News Report·EN·National Security

China’s presence at Scarborough Shoal in South China Sea ‘unprecedented’ in 2025: report

A new report by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI) indicates that China significantly increased its patrols in the South China Sea in 2025. The report, based on Automatic Identification System data, highlights an "unprecedented" near year-round presence of the China Coast Guard (CCG) at contested sites like Scarborough Shoal.

Alyssa ChenSouth China Morning PostFiled 2026-01-30 · 08:14 GMTLean · Center-RightRead · 1 min
China’s presence at Scarborough Shoal in South China Sea ‘unprecedented’ in 2025: report
South China Morning PostFIG 01
Reading time
1min
Word count
181words
Sources cited
1cited
Entities identified
7entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

A new report by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI) indicates that China significantly increased its patrols in the South China Sea in 2025. The report, based on Automatic Identification System data, highlights an "unprecedented" near year-round presence of the China Coast Guard (CCG) at contested sites like Scarborough Shoal. The analysis measured CCG presence using ship days and calendar days, revealing patrols observed on 352 calendar days near Scarborough Shoal. This increased presence is interpreted as an effort by China to assert its maritime claims in the region. The AMTI is a research program affiliated with the Centre for Strategic and International Studies.

Confidence 0.90Sources 1Claims 4Entities 7
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
National Security
Political Strategy
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.80 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
1
Limited
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

4 extracted
01

Chinese coastguard had a nearly year-round presence near Scarborough Shoal, with patrols observed on 352 calendar days.

statisticAsia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI)
Confidence
1.00
02

The AMTI analysis showed a substantial increase in China’s patrol presence.

factualnull
Confidence
0.90
03

China maintained an “unprecedented” nearly year-round presence at contested sites like Scarborough Shoal.

factualnull
Confidence
0.90
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China ramped up its South China Sea patrols in 2025.

factualnull
Confidence
0.90
§ 04

Full report

1 min read · 181 words
China ramped up its China-sea" class="entity-link entity-location" data-entity-id="8346" data-entity-type="location">South China Sea patrols in 2025, maintaining an “unprecedented” nearly year-round presence at contested sites like Scarborough Shoal to assert maritime claims, according to a new US-based think tank report.An analysis published on Thursday by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI) – a research programme affiliated with the Centre for Strategic and International Studies – showed a substantial increase in China’s patrol presence as well as a broadening of its patrol coverage near Scarborough Shoal and Sabina Shoal.The AMTI’s analysis drew on data from the Automatic Identification System, a tracking system that uses transponders on ships to provide real-time information to other vessels, coastal authorities and satellites.It used two metrics to quantify the China Coast Guard’s (CCG) presence: ship days – the total sum of days spent by every individual CCG vessel at a location, and calendar days – the number of distinct days in a year during which at least one CCG ship was present.According to the initiative, the Chinese coastguard had a nearly year-round presence near Scarborough Shoal, with patrols observed on 352 calendar days.
§ 05

Entities

7 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

10 terms
south china sea
1.00
china
0.90
scarborough shoal
0.90
maritime claims
0.70
patrols
0.70
china coast guard
0.60
maritime transparency
0.50
amti
0.50
ship days
0.40
calendar days
0.40
§ 07

Topic connections

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