NEWSAR
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SRCSouth China Morning Post
LANGEN
LEANCenter-Right
WORDS293
ENT9
WED · 2026-02-04 · 03:49 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0204-13165
News/Vietnam prepared for possible war against ‘belligerent’ US, …
NSR-2026-0204-13165News Report·EN·National Security

Vietnam prepared for possible war against ‘belligerent’ US, secret paper shows

A recently released report by The 88 Project reveals that Vietnam's Ministry of Defence prepared a document in August 2024 outlining plans for a potential "war of aggression" by the United States. Despite improved diplomatic relations between the two countries, the document identifies the U.S.

Associated PressSouth China Morning PostFiled 2026-02-04 · 03:49 GMTLean · Center-RightRead · 2 min
Vietnam prepared for possible war against ‘belligerent’ US, secret paper shows
South China Morning PostFIG 01
Reading time
2min
Word count
293words
Sources cited
1cited
Entities identified
9entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

A recently released report by The 88 Project reveals that Vietnam's Ministry of Defence prepared a document in August 2024 outlining plans for a potential "war of aggression" by the United States. Despite improved diplomatic relations between the two countries, the document identifies the U.S. as a "belligerent" power and expresses concern that it might seek to destabilize Vietnam through unconventional warfare or military intervention. The report suggests these concerns stem from a broader fear within the Vietnamese government about external forces instigating a "color revolution" against the communist leadership. While acknowledging a low immediate risk of war, the document emphasizes the need for vigilance against potential U.S. pretexts for invasion, driven by the U.S.'s perceived desire to deter China and maintain global influence.

Confidence 0.90Sources 1Claims 5Entities 9
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
National Security
Diplomatic
Tone
Mixed Tone
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.70 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
1
Limited
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

The original Vietnamese document titled “The 2nd US Invasion Plan” was completed by the Ministry of Defence in August 2024.

factualnull
Confidence
1.00
02

Vietnam's military prepared for a possible American “war of aggression”.

factualreport released on Tuesday
Confidence
0.90
03

Currently there is little risk of a war against Vietnam.

quoteVietnamese planners
Confidence
0.80
04

The document confirms a deep-seated fear of external forces fomenting an uprising.

factualreport released on Tuesday
Confidence
0.80
05

US and its allies are ready to apply unconventional forms of warfare and military intervention.

quoteVietnamese planners
Confidence
0.70
§ 04

Full report

2 min read · 293 words
A year after Vietnam elevated its relations with Washington to the highest diplomatic level, an internal document shows its military was taking steps to prepare for a possible American “war of aggression” and considered the United States a “belligerent” power, according to a report released on Tuesday.More than just exposing Hanoi’s duality in approach towards the US, the document confirms a deep-seated fear of external forces fomenting an uprising against the communist leadership in a “colour revolution”, like the 2004 Orange Revolution in Ukraine, or the 1986 Yellow Revolution in the Philippines.Other internal documents that The 88 Project, a human rights organisation focused on human rights abuses in Vietnam, cited in its analysis point to similar concerns over US motives in Vietnam.“There’s a consensus here across the government and across different ministries,” said Ben Swanton, co-director of The 88 Project and the report’s author. “This isn’t just some kind of fringe element or paranoid element within the party or within the government.”US president Joe Biden raises a toast during a State Luncheon with Vietnam president Vo Van Thuong in Hanoi on September 11, 2023. Photo: APThe original Vietnamese document titled “The 2nd US Invasion Plan” was completed by the Ministry of Defence in August 2024. It suggests that in seeking “its objective of strengthening deterrence against China, the US and its allies are ready to apply unconventional forms of warfare and military intervention and even conduct large-scale invasions against countries and territories that ‘deviate from its orbit’”.While noting that “currently there is little risk of a war against Vietnam”, the Vietnamese planners write that “due to the US’ belligerent nature we need to be vigilant to prevent the US and its allies from ‘creating a pretext’ to launch an invasion of our country”.
§ 05

Entities

9 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

8 terms
us-vietnam relations
0.90
war of aggression
0.80
military preparedness
0.70
us invasion plan
0.70
colour revolution
0.60
ministry of defence
0.50
external forces
0.50
belligerent
0.40
§ 07

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