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THU · 2026-02-05 · 08:23 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0205-13577
News/Watch: The US and Russia's nuclear treat/The last US-Russia nuclear pact expires, prompting fears of …
NSR-2026-0205-13577News Report·EN·National Security

The last US-Russia nuclear pact expires, prompting fears of a new arms race

The last remaining nuclear arms control pact between the US and Russia has expired, raising concerns about a potential new arms race. The treaty, known as New START, was signed in 2010 and limited the number of strategic nuclear warheads, missiles, and bombers that each country could possess.

Associated Press (AP)Filed 2026-02-05 · 08:23 GMTLean · CenterRead · 5 min
The last US-Russia nuclear pact expires, prompting fears of a new arms race
Associated Press (AP)FIG 01
Reading time
5min
Word count
1 050words
Sources cited
1cited
Entities identified
11entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

The last remaining nuclear arms control pact between the US and Russia has expired, raising concerns about a potential new arms race. The treaty, known as New START, was signed in 2010 and limited the number of strategic nuclear warheads, missiles, and bombers that each country could possess. With its expiration, there are now no legally binding limits on the nuclear arsenals of the two nations. The absence of an agreement increases the risk of unchecked nuclear weapons development and deployment, potentially escalating tensions between the US and Russia. The treaty's end marks a significant setback for nuclear arms control efforts.

Confidence 0.90Sources 1Claims 3Entities 11
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
National Security
Conflict
Tone
Mixed Tone
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.80 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
1
Limited
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

3 extracted
01

Russian President Vladimir Putin last year declared readiness to stick to the treaty’s limits for another year if Washington follows suit.

factualVladimir Putin
Confidence
1.00
02

The last remaining nuclear arms pact between Russia and the United States expires Thursday.

factual
Confidence
1.00
03

The termination of the New START Treaty could set the stage for what many fear could be an unconstrained nuclear arms race.

prediction
Confidence
0.70
§ 04

Full report

5 min read · 1 050 words
The last US-Russia nuclear pact expires, prompting fears of a new arms race 1 of 4 | This photo taken from a video distributed on Dec. 9, 2020 by the Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, shows a rocket launch as part of a ground-based intercontinental ballistic missile test at the Plesetsk facility in northwestern Russia. (Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP, File) 2 of 4 | U.S. President Donald Trump greets Russian President Vladimir Putin, Aug. 15, 2025, at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, Alaska. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson, File) 3 of 4 | U.S. President Barack Obama, left, and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev, right, shake hands at a news conference at the Prague Castle in Prague, Czech Republic,, April 8, 2010, after signing the New START Treaty reducing long-range nuclear weapons. (AP Photo/Mikhail Metzel, File) 4 of 4 | This photo released by the U.S. Air Force shows a B-52H Stratofortress approaching a KC-10 Extender for refueling over the Middle East, Sept. 4, 2022. (U.S. Air Force/Staff Sgt. Shannon Bowman, via AP, File) 1 of 4 This photo taken from a video distributed on Dec. 9, 2020 by the Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, shows a rocket launch as part of a ground-based intercontinental ballistic missile test at the Plesetsk facility in northwestern Russia. (Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP, File) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 2 of 4 U.S. President Donald Trump greets Russian President Vladimir Putin, Aug. 15, 2025, at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, Alaska. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson, File) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 3 of 4 U.S. President Barack Obama, left, and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev, right, shake hands at a news conference at the Prague Castle in Prague, Czech Republic,, April 8, 2010, after signing the New START Treaty reducing long-range nuclear weapons. (AP Photo/Mikhail Metzel, File) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. 4 of 4 This photo released by the U.S. Air Force shows a B-52H Stratofortress approaching a KC-10 Extender for refueling over the Middle East, Sept. 4, 2022. (U.S. Air Force/Staff Sgt. Shannon Bowman, via AP, File) Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] MOSCOW (AP) — The last remaining nuclear arms pact between Russia and the United States expires Thursday, removing any caps on the two largest atomic arsenals for the first time in more than a half-century.The termination of the New START Treaty could set the stage for what many fear could be an unconstrained nuclear arms race.Russian President Vladimir Putin last year declared readiness to stick to the treaty’s limits for another year if Washington follows suit, but U.S. President Donald Trump has been noncommittal about extending it. He has indicated that he wants China to be a part of it — a push Beijing has rebuffed. Putin discussed the pact’s expiration with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Wednesday, Kremlin adviser Yuri Ushakov said, noting Washington hasn’t responded to his proposed extension.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Thursday that Moscow views the expiration of the treaty “negatively” and regrets its. “In any case, the Russian Federation will retain its responsible, thorough approach to stability when it comes to nuclear weapons. And, of course, it will be guided primarily by its national interests,” Peskov said. Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Wednesday night said in a statement that “under the current circumstances, we assume that the parties to the New START Treaty are no longer bound by any obligations or symmetrical declarations within the context of the Treaty, including its core provisions, and are fundamentally free to choose their next steps.” New START, signed in 2010 by then-President Barack Obama and his Russian counterpart, Dmitry Medvedev, restricted each side to no more than 1,550 nuclear warheads on no more than 700 missiles and bombers — deployed and ready for use. It was originally supposed to expire in 2021 but was extended for five more years.The pact envisioned sweeping on-site inspections to verify compliance, although they stopped in 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic and never resumed. In February 2023, Putin suspended Moscow’s participation, saying Russia couldn’t allow U.S. inspections of its nuclear sites at a time when Washington and its NATO allies have openly declared Moscow’s defeat in Ukraine as their goal. At the same time, the Kremlin emphasized it wasn’t withdrawing from the pact altogether, pledging to respect its caps on nuclear weapons.In offering in September to abide by New START’s limits for a year to buy time for both sides to negotiate a successor agreement, Putin said the pact’s expiration would be destabilizing and could fuel nuclear proliferation.New START followed a long succession of U.S.-Russian nuclear arms reduction pacts. Those have been terminated, as well. Trump has indicated he would like to keep limits on nuclear weapons but wants to involve China in a potential new treaty.“I actually feel strongly that if we’re going to do it, I think China should be a member of the extension,” Trump told The New York Times last month. “China should be a part of the agreement.”Beijing has balked at any restrictions on its smaller but growing nuclear arsenal, while urging the U.S. to resume nuclear talks with Russia. “China’s nuclear forces are not at all on the same scale as those of the U.S. and Russia, and thus China will not participate in nuclear disarmament negotiations at the current stage,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said Thursday.He said China regrets the expiration of the treaty, calls on the U.S. to resume nuclear dialogue with Russia soon and to positively respond to Moscow’s suggestion that the two sides continue observing the core limits of the treaty for now.This version of the story corrects the last paragraph to say China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said Beijing calls on the U.S. to respond positively to Moscow’s proposal to keep adhering to the treaty, not that China views it positively. Associated Press writer Ken Moritsugu contributed to this report from Beijing.
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Entities

11 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

6 terms
nuclear pact
0.90
arms race
0.80
nuclear weapons
0.70
us-russia relations
0.60
treaty
0.50
intercontinental ballistic missile
0.40
§ 07

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