Inflation likely to spike in coming months after tame February reading
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A new report indicates that U.S. inflation was likely elevated in February, with consumer prices expected to have risen 2.5% year-over-year. However, this data precedes the recent surge in oil and gas prices following the launch of the Iran war on February 28th. The conflict has disrupted shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf, causing a rare shutdown and significant volatility in oil markets. Experts predict that rising gas prices will further inflate consumer costs in the coming months, potentially unsettling the Federal Reserve and impacting consumer spending. While the price spike could be temporary depending on the war's duration, continued disruptions, particularly the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, could drive oil prices to $150 a barrel, exacerbating inflation concerns.
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