US-Israeli war on Iran may spark nuclear arms race, Carnegie scholar says

South China Morning PostEN 1 min read 100% complete by Seong Hyeon ChoiMarch 12, 2026 at 08:39 AM

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Zhao Tong, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, warns that a potential US-Israeli war against Iran could trigger a nuclear arms race. Tong's research focuses on nuclear weapons policy and strategic security issues. He suggests that military action against Iran's nuclear program could destabilize the region and incentivize other nations to pursue nuclear weapons capabilities. The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace is a Washington-based think tank with an East Asia research center in China. Tong's analysis highlights the potential consequences of military intervention in Iran and its impact on nuclear proliferation.

Key Entities & Roles

Key Player Opposition Context

Nuclear Policy Programme 40% China ×250% United States 60% Israel 70% Carnegie China 70% Iran 80% Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 80% Zhao Tong 90%

Keywords

nuclear arms race 100% us-israeli war 90% iran 80% nuclear weapons policy 70% non-proliferation 60% deterrence 60% arms control 50% strategic security 50% regional security 40%

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Negative

Score: -0.30

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South China Morning Post

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nuclear arms race us-israeli war iran nuclear weapons policy non-proliferation deterrence arms control strategic security regional security

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