‘New world disorder’: Sudan, Palestine top IRC’s 2026 Emergency Watchlist

‘Geopolitical rivalries, shifting alliances, transactional deals’ dominate as most vulnerable are plunged into deeper crisis.Sudanese girls who fled el-Fasher receive humanitarian aid at the al-Afad camp for displaced people in the town of al-Dabba, northern Sudan in November 2025 [File: Ebrahim Hamid/AFP]Published On 16 Dec 2025Growing global disorder threatens to deepen humanitarian crises around the world, with Sudan and Palestine facing the greatest risk of all, according to a new report.The pair once again topped the International Rescue Committee’s (IRC) Emergency Watchlist, the 2026 version of which was released on Tuesday.Recommended Stories list of 3 itemslist 1 of 3Tracking Sudan’s humanitarian crisis: By the numberslist 2 of 3EU launches aid flights to Sudan’s Darfur as humanitarian crisis escalateslist 3 of 3Gaza authorities struggle to recover bodies from rubble amid winter stormsend of listThe report on the world’s top 20 crises warns that diverging trends of surging catastrophe and shrinking funding signal the advent of a “new world disorder” replacing the post-World War II rules-based order.“Disorder begets disorder,” said IRC president David Miliband. “This year’s Watchlist is a testament to misery but also a warning: without urgent action from those with power to make a difference, 2026 risks becoming the most dangerous year yet.”The report said the new state of global disorder was characterised by “intensifying geopolitical rivalries, shifting alliances, and transactional deal-making”, which had conspired to create “a cascade of crises and eroding support for the world’s most vulnerable”.A “surge of vetoes” at the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) has stalled responses in Sudan and Palestine, it points out.Russia has regularly stood in the way of a ceasefire in Sudan, while the United States repeatedly vetoed a Gaza truce before drafting a peace plan with the backing of regional actors earlier this year.The 20 countries on the watchlist, which also include South Sudan, Ethiopia, Haiti, Myanmar and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, make up only 12 percent of the world’s population, but account for 89 percent of the nearly 300 million people around the globe that need humanitarian aid, reads the report.Highlighting the scale of the crisis, it notes that 117 million people are forcibly displaced and 40 million face life-threatening levels of “severe hunger”, yet funding has shrunk by 50 percent.That has created a funding gap that leaves humanitarian responders unable to keep pace with needs.‘Impunity on a dangerous scale’Sudan, ravaged by nearly three years of fighting between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), headed the list for the third year in a row.The IRC highlights the role of “regional backers” complicit in a war that it says has killed 150,000 people and displaced more than 12 million. Some 33 million people need humanitarian aid, with 207,000 facing “catastrophic” food shortages.“Large quantities of gold flow out of the country, while weapons move in the opposite direction,” says the report, which did not name the “backers”.The United Arab Emirates is widely accused of backing the RSF, a claim the Gulf country denies.Palestine, facing the twin crises of Israel’s onslaught in Gaza, which has killed more than 70,000 people and created a humanitarian catastrophe, and escalating settler violence in the occupied West Bank, ranked second for the third year running.The IRC report said there was “limited hope” that “external pressure” would “reduce the intensity of conflict” in Gaza, where authorities say Israel has carried out nearly 800 attacks, killing about 400 people, since a ceasefire deal reached in October under the US-led peace plan, which was backed by the UNSC.Even if conflict in Gaza remains at “lower levels”, the IRC said, “civilians will face intense suffering and a struggle for survival amid what remains of Gaza”.In late 2025, the report said 641,000 people were experiencing “famine or catastrophic food insecurity” in the enclave, and the situation is likely to persist.“Tight restrictions and militarized delivery will leave aid access limited,” it said, referring to Israel’s choking of aid supplies entering the enclave.Overall, the report said, impunity has been “enabled on a dangerous scale”. The past year has turned out to be the “deadliest” for humanitarians, referring to attacks on schools, hospitals and other essential infrastructure in Gaza.