China’s economy big enough to absorb Iran war shocks, says Justin Lin
Economist Justin Lin Yifu stated at the Boao Forum for Asia in Hainan, China, that China's economy is large enough to withstand economic shocks from the Iran war and still meet its annual growth target of 4.5 to 5 percent. Lin, a former World Bank chief economist, acknowledged that the Middle East conflict could negatively impact the global economy, potentially causing a recession.

Briefing Summary
AI-generatedEconomist Justin Lin Yifu stated at the Boao Forum for Asia in Hainan, China, that China's economy is large enough to withstand economic shocks from the Iran war and still meet its annual growth target of 4.5 to 5 percent. Lin, a former World Bank chief economist, acknowledged that the Middle East conflict could negatively impact the global economy, potentially causing a recession. However, he believes China has sufficient domestic capacity to offset external shocks and maintain its development agenda, provided it manages its internal affairs effectively. Lin also noted that the range-based growth target offers flexibility in responding to external uncertainties. He added that China is preparing for the possibility that the US might renege on trade deals.
Article analysis
Model · rule-basedKey claims
5 extractedChina's economic growth target is 4.5 to 5 per cent.
No country could be spared from the economic impacts of the conflict in the Middle East.
China is preparing for the possibility that Washington might renege on trade deals.
China has sufficient capacity to absorb external shocks from the Iran war and meet its annual economic growth target.
In the worst scenario, it may send the whole global economy into a recession, like the two oil crises in the 1970s.