White House staff told not to place bets on prediction markets
In March, White House staff were warned against using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The warning followed press reports raising concerns about government officials potentially profiting from insider information.

Briefing Summary
AI-generatedIn March, White House staff were warned against using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The warning followed press reports raising concerns about government officials potentially profiting from insider information. This comes amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets, particularly those involving conflicts, with concerns about potential manipulation and exploitation. Polymarket faced scrutiny in January after a large, suspiciously timed bet was placed on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. A US Congressman has called for an investigation into "suspicious" trades, and legislation has been introduced to ban prediction market betting related to war or military action. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which regulates derivatives trading, is facing pressure to address these concerns.
Article analysis
Model · rule-basedKey claims
5 extractedDemocrat leaders introduced legislation that would completely ban prediction market betting related to war or military action.
Polymarket came under scrutiny after a gambler made nearly half a million dollars on the capture of Nicolás Maduro.
Any implication that Administration officials are engaged in such activity without evidence is baseless and irresponsible reporting.
Email was sent to staff on 24 March, a day after Trump announced a five-day pause on his threat to attack Iranian power plants.
White House staff were warned last month not to use insider information to place bets on predictions markets.