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FRI · 2026-04-10 · 02:32 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0410-61195
News/White House staff told not to place bets on prediction marke…
NSR-2026-0410-61195News Report·EN·Political Strategy

White House staff told not to place bets on prediction markets

In March, White House staff were warned against using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The warning followed press reports raising concerns about government officials potentially profiting from insider information.

BBC News - WorldFiled 2026-04-10 · 02:32 GMTLean · CenterRead · 2 min
White House staff told not to place bets on prediction markets
BBC News - WorldFIG 01
Reading time
2min
Word count
362words
Sources cited
4cited
Entities identified
12entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

In March, White House staff were warned against using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The warning followed press reports raising concerns about government officials potentially profiting from insider information. This comes amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets, particularly those involving conflicts, with concerns about potential manipulation and exploitation. Polymarket faced scrutiny in January after a large, suspiciously timed bet was placed on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. A US Congressman has called for an investigation into "suspicious" trades, and legislation has been introduced to ban prediction market betting related to war or military action. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which regulates derivatives trading, is facing pressure to address these concerns.

Confidence 0.90Sources 4Claims 5Entities 12
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Political Strategy
Legal & Judicial
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.80 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
4
Well sourced
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

Democrat leaders introduced legislation that would completely ban prediction market betting related to war or military action.

factualOsmond Chia (Business reporter)
Confidence
1.00
02

Polymarket came under scrutiny after a gambler made nearly half a million dollars on the capture of Nicolás Maduro.

factualOsmond Chia (Business reporter)
Confidence
1.00
03

Any implication that Administration officials are engaged in such activity without evidence is baseless and irresponsible reporting.

quoteDavis Ingle (White House spokesman)
Confidence
1.00
04

Email was sent to staff on 24 March, a day after Trump announced a five-day pause on his threat to attack Iranian power plants.

factualOsmond Chia (Business reporter)
Confidence
1.00
05

White House staff were warned last month not to use insider information to place bets on predictions markets.

factualOsmond Chia (Business reporter)
Confidence
1.00
§ 04

Full report

2 min read · 362 words
1 hour agoOsmond ChiaBusiness reporterGetty ImagesWhite House staff were warned last month not to use insider information to place bets on predictions markets.The email was sent to staff on 24 March, a day after US President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause on his threat to attack Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure.It referred to press reports that raised concerns over government officials using non-public information to place bets on platforms like Kalshi or Polymarket.White House spokesman Davis Ingle told the BBC that "any implication that Administration officials are engaged in such activity without evidence is baseless and irresponsible reporting." The Wall Street Journal first reported the email on Thursday.Ingle also said that all federal employees are subject to government ethics guidelines that prohibit the use of insider information for financial gain."The only special interest that will ever guide President Trump is the best interest of the American people," he added.The BBC has contacted Kalshi and Polymarket for comment.Polymarket came under scrutiny in January after a gambler made nearly half a million dollars on the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro just before it was officially announced.It was unclear who placed the bet. The anonymous account had a blockchain identifier of letters and numbers.The incident raised concerns about whether they had benefited from inside information of the US military operation.The predictions can be related to anything. They mostly involve sports but users can also place bets on whether, for instance, the US central bank will cut rates or the results of local elections.Prediction market bets on conflicts have fuelled debate over how industry should be regulated.This week, US Congressman Ritchie Torres, a Democrat who sits on the House Financial Services Committee, sent a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that called for an investigation into "suspicious" trades.The commission regulates the derivatives trading, which includes prediction markets.In March, Democrat leaders introduced legislation that would completely ban prediction market betting related to war or military action."Corruption and exploitation are thriving right now within the gaps and loopholes of prediction markets," said US Senator Andy Kim from New Jersey."This manipulation leaves the select few winning big, at the expense of working Americans," he said.
§ 05

Entities

12 identified
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Keywords & salience

10 terms
prediction markets
1.00
insider information
0.90
white house staff
0.80
ethics guidelines
0.70
polymarket
0.60
financial gain
0.60
kalshi
0.60
market regulation
0.50
commodity futures trading commission
0.50
suspicious trades
0.40
§ 07

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