The insider trading suspicions looming over Trump's presidency

Feb 2026: Six accounts created on Polymarket28 Feb: Accounts win $1.2m between themAccording to the blockchain analysis website Bubblemaps, six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All placed wagers on a US strike on Iran happening by 28 February. When the attacks were confirmed by President Trump in the early hours of that day, the accounts earned $1.2m between them.Five of those six users have placed no more bets since, but one of the account's recent activity shows it has subsequently made $163,000 by correctly betting on a US-Iran ceasefire by 7 April, which was announced by Washington and Tehran on that day.Polymarket told the BBC it "sets, maintains, and enforces the highest standards of market integrity", adding that it "proactively" works with regulators and law enforcement to do so.In March this year, both Polymarket and Kalshi outlined new rules to crack down on insider trading.Predictions markets come under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).The CFTC did not respond to a BBC request for comment, but its chair recently told a Congressional committee that his organisation had "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading.