NEWSAR
Multi-perspective news intelligence
SRCThe Guardian - World News
LANGEN
LEANCenter-Left
WORDS1 560
ENT12
TUE · 2026-01-13 · 10:36 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0113-7215
News/Iran shuts down private businesses after/Iran crisis live: Iranian regime is in its ‘final days and w…
NSR-2026-0113-7215News Report·EN·Political Strategy

Iran crisis live: Iranian regime is in its ‘final days and weeks’, says German chancellor

Anti-government protests in Iran, triggered by economic issues in late December, continue to pose a significant challenge to the Islamic Republic. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated the Iranian government is in its "final days and weeks" due to its reliance on force and lack of legitimacy.

Yohannes LoweThe Guardian - World NewsFiled 2026-01-13 · 10:36 GMTLean · Center-LeftRead · 7 min
Iran crisis live: Iranian regime is in its ‘final days and weeks’, says German chancellor
The Guardian - World NewsFIG 01
Reading time
7min
Word count
1 560words
Sources cited
7cited
Entities identified
12entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

Anti-government protests in Iran, triggered by economic issues in late December, continue to pose a significant challenge to the Islamic Republic. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated the Iranian government is in its "final days and weeks" due to its reliance on force and lack of legitimacy. The protests have resulted in at least 648 deaths, according to Iran Human Rights, and thousands of injuries. The Iranian regime has faced international condemnation for its crackdown, including mass arrests and internet blackouts. The US is considering options, including potential tariffs and airstrikes, while urging diplomacy. The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights has called for an end to the violence and for the Iranian people's demands to be heard.

Confidence 0.90Sources 7Claims 5Entities 12
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Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Political Strategy
Human Rights
Tone
Mixed Tone
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.70 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
7
Well sourced
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

US president, Donald Trump, has said any country that does business with Iran will face a tariff rate of 25% on trade with the US.

factualDonald Trump
Confidence
1.00
02

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he believes the Iranian government is in its “final days and weeks”.

quoteGerman Chancellor Friedrich Merz
Confidence
1.00
03

At least 648 protesters have been killed in the ongoing crackdown.

statisticIran Human Rights (Norway-based NGO)
Confidence
0.90
04

The Iranian regime lacks “legitimacy through elections in the population”.

quoteGerman Chancellor Friedrich Merz
Confidence
0.80
05

About 2,000 people killed in Iran protests, Iranian official tells Reuters

statisticIranian official
Confidence
0.70
§ 04

Full report

7 min read · 1 560 words
From 3h agoIranian government in its 'final days and weeks', German chancellor saysWe are restarting our live coverage of the ongoing anti-government protests in Iran which are widely seen as the most serious challenge to the country’s Islamic Republic in recent years.At least 648 protesters have been killed in the ongoing crackdown, according to the Norway-based NGO Iran-human-rights" class="entity-link entity-organization" data-entity-id="9079" data-entity-type="organization">Iran Human Rights. Thousands more people have been injured since the demonstrations started on 28 December over the collapse of the Iranian currency and general economic malaise.Speaking while on a diplomatic visit to India earlier today, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he believes the Iranian government is in its “final days and weeks”, adding that the regime lacks “legitimacy through elections in the population”.“If a regime can only keep itself in power by force, then it’s effectively at the end,” Merz said.Crowds march on streets of Iran calling for overthrow of supreme leader – videoThe Iranian regime has been condemned by many world leaders for its harsh crackdown including mass arrests, internet blackouts and public warnings that participation in the demonstrations could carry the death penalty.On Tuesday morning, the Associated Press reported mobile phones in Iran were able to make international calls, although restrictions on the internet reportedly remain in place.Meanwhile, the US president, Donald Trump, has said any country that does business with Iran will face a tariff rate of 25% on trade with the US.The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, told reporters on Monday that airstrikes were among the “many, many options” that Trump was considering but that “diplomacy is always the first option for the president”. Trump’s national security team is expected to meet later to discuss options. Stick with us as we bring you the latest lines.Key events37m agoAbout 2,000 people killed in Iran protests, Iranian official tells Reuters1h agoWhy are people protesting in Iran?2h agoUS citizens urged by virtual embassy in Iran to leave the county 'now'2h agoIran’s internet shutdown has lasted over 108 hours, monitor says3h agoIranian government in its 'final days and weeks', German chancellor saysShow key events onlyPlease turn on JavaScript to use this featureCommenting on the protests, the UN high commissioner for human rights Volker Türk said: This cycle of horrific violence cannot continue. The Iranian people and their demands for fairness, equality and justice must be heard. Asked to comment on the scale of the death toll, the UN rights office spokesperson Jeremy Laurence drew on information given by the UN’s sources in Iran and told reporters: “The number that we’re hearing is hundreds.”About 2,000 people killed in Iran protests, Iranian official tells ReutersAbout 2,000 people, including security personnel, have been killed in the protests in Iran, an Iranian official has told the Reuters news agency. We have not been able to independently verify this figure yet. It is difficult to do so because of the ongoing internet blackout in Iran. The official did not give a breakdown of who had been killed to Reuters.Australia’s foreign minister Penny Wong has urged her country’s nationals in Iran to leave “now” as tensions remain high between Washington and Tehran as the US reportedly weighs a series of potential military options in Iran.In a post to X, Wong said: Australia stands with the brave people of Iran in their struggle against an oppressive regime. We unequivocally condemn the Iranian regime’s brutal crackdown on its own people – the killing of protesters, the use of force, and arbitrary arrests must stop. Our ability to provide services in Iran is extremely limited. I urge any Australians still in Iran to leave now while commercial options are available. Australians in need should call the Consular Emergency Centre on 1300 555 135 (within Australia) or +61 2 6261 3305 (overseas). Why are people protesting in Iran?The protests, which began in Tehran on 28 December, were triggered by the collapse of the Iranian currency – the rial - and soon morphed into nationwide anti-regime demonstrations with people also angry at social and political restrictions imposed by the government.As my colleague William Christou notes in this story, the currency has continued to depreciate, while the government announced the end of a subsidised exchange rate for importers – a move that caused the price of groceries to soar.In September, widespread UN sanctions against Iran came back into effect for the first time in a decade after being triggered by the UK, France and Germany (the ‘E3’) as Tehran failed to convince western powers it would address their concerns over its nuclear programme.An Iranian citizen withdraws money from an ATM machine in Tehran on 7 January, 2026. Photograph: Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty ImagesThey were are a “snapback” of measures frozen in 2015 when Iran agreed to major restrictions on its nuclear programme under a deal negotiated by the former US president Barack Obama.Iran was already under huge economic strain caused by US sanctions that cut the country off from global finance.International sanctions have played a major role in worsening economic conditions for ordinary Iranians who are having to contend with high inflation, soaring prices and a huge devaluation of the rial.Iran’s economic crisis worsened again after Israel and the US launched strikes last June in a 12-day war that targeted several of the country’s nuclear sites.US citizens urged by virtual embassy in Iran to leave the county 'now'The US virtual embassy in Iran has urged for US citizens to get out of the country “now” (if possible) and to have a plan for leaving that does not “rely” on US government help.In a security alert published on Tuesday, the embassy said: Protests across Iran are escalating and may turn violent, resulting in arrests and injuries. Increased security measures, road closures, public transportation disruptions, and internet blockages are ongoing. The government of Iran has restricted access to mobile, landline, and national internet networks. Airlines continue to limit or cancel flights to and from Iran, with several suspending service until Friday, January 16. It recommends for US citizens to avoid demonstrations, “keep a low profile” and, if it is safe to do so, consider leaving Iran “by land” to Armenia or Turkey.If leaving is impossible, the virtual embassy said people should find a “secure location” within their residence or another safe building, and keep a supply of essential items including food, water and medication.As of yesterday, protests were reported to have taken place in at least 186 cities across all 31 provinces in Iran.Iran’s internet shutdown has lasted over 108 hours, monitor saysIran’s internet shutdown has passed the 108-hour mark, according to an update from the internet tracking agency NetBlocks posted about four hours ago.The tracking agency has said the blackout, which has seriously hampered the media’s ability to report on what is going on inside of Iran, could be circumvented with shortwave radio, connecting to cell coverage at borders, Starlink and satellite phones.For the first time in days Iranian authorities allowed members of the public to make phone calls abroad, the Associated Press reported this morning. But there are still restrictions on the internet and texting services have reportedly not been restored.More than 90 million people have been cut off from the internet since the demonstrations in Iran began, according to the human rights organisation Witness.As we mentioned in the opening post, Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post on Monday that countries doing business with Iran would be hit with a 25% tariff on trade with the US, a move that is likely to impact major economies like China and India.You can keep up to date with the latest market reaction and how the price of oil has been impacted by the announcement in our business live blog.Iranian government in its 'final days and weeks', German chancellor saysWe are restarting our live coverage of the ongoing anti-government protests in Iran which are widely seen as the most serious challenge to the country’s Islamic Republic in recent years.At least 648 protesters have been killed in the ongoing crackdown, according to the Norway-based NGO Iran-human-rights" class="entity-link entity-organization" data-entity-id="9079" data-entity-type="organization">Iran Human Rights. Thousands more people have been injured since the demonstrations started on 28 December over the collapse of the Iranian currency and general economic malaise.Speaking while on a diplomatic visit to India earlier today, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he believes the Iranian government is in its “final days and weeks”, adding that the regime lacks “legitimacy through elections in the population”.“If a regime can only keep itself in power by force, then it’s effectively at the end,” Merz said.Crowds march on streets of Iran calling for overthrow of supreme leader – videoThe Iranian regime has been condemned by many world leaders for its harsh crackdown including mass arrests, internet blackouts and public warnings that participation in the demonstrations could carry the death penalty.On Tuesday morning, the Associated Press reported mobile phones in Iran were able to make international calls, although restrictions on the internet reportedly remain in place.Meanwhile, the US president, Donald Trump, has said any country that does business with Iran will face a tariff rate of 25% on trade with the US.The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, told reporters on Monday that airstrikes were among the “many, many options” that Trump was considering but that “diplomacy is always the first option for the president”. Trump’s national security team is expected to meet later to discuss options. Stick with us as we bring you the latest lines.
§ 05

Entities

12 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

8 terms
iran protests
1.00
iranian regime
0.90
crackdown
0.80
human rights
0.70
internet shutdown
0.60
economic malaise
0.60
german chancellor
0.50
trade tariff
0.40
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