NEWSAR
Multi-perspective news intelligence
SRCThe Guardian - World News
LANGEN
LEANCenter-Left
WORDS473
ENT12
TUE · 2026-06-30 · 07:00 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0630-88594
News/Nearly 25% of UK pubs and restaurants lose money, research s…
NSR-2026-0630-88594News Report·EN·Economic Impact

Nearly 25% of UK pubs and restaurants lose money, research shows

Nearly a quarter of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are currently losing money, according to new survey data. This situation has prompted celebrity chefs and business owners, led by Tom Kerridge, to launch a campaign for a sector-specific Value Added Tax (VAT) cut from 20% to 10%.

Rob Davies and Charlotte SmithThe Guardian - World NewsFiled 2026-06-30 · 07:00 GMTLean · Center-LeftRead · 2 min
Nearly 25% of UK pubs and restaurants lose money, research shows
The Guardian - World NewsFIG 01
Reading time
2min
Word count
473words
Sources cited
5cited
Entities identified
12entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

Nearly a quarter of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are currently losing money, according to new survey data. This situation has prompted celebrity chefs and business owners, led by Tom Kerridge, to launch a campaign for a sector-specific Value Added Tax (VAT) cut from 20% to 10%. The campaign, titled "VAT's the problem," aims to gather public support through a petition. Industry trade bodies highlight that this increase in businesses operating at a loss, up from 15% three months ago, is due to rising costs and taxation. While some, like Andy Burnham, have shown tentative support for a VAT reduction, independent thinktank Tax Policy Associates expresses skepticism, suggesting the funds could be better used for growth and that the cut would primarily benefit larger businesses.

Confidence 0.90Sources 5Claims 5Entities 12
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
Economic Impact
Human Interest
Tone
Mixed Tone
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.70 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
5
Well sourced
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

The hospitality sector is campaigning for a VAT cut from 20% to 10%.

factualcampaign organizers
Confidence
0.95
02

The UK's VAT rate on food and drink service is higher than the European average.

factualarticle
Confidence
0.90
03

Nearly a quarter of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are losing money.

statisticindustry group survey data
Confidence
0.90
04

One in six businesses in the sector risk going bust within 12 months.

statisticindustry group survey data
Confidence
0.85
05

A VAT cut would mainly benefit big businesses and £12bn could be better spent to spur growth.

factualTax Policy Associates
Confidence
0.70
§ 04

Full report

2 min read · 473 words
Nearly a quarter of UK pubs, bars and restaurants are losing money, according to new survey data that came as a group of celebrity chefs and business owners stepped up their campaign for a sector-specific VAT cut.Spearheaded by chef Tom Kerridge, leading figures in the hospitality sector are calling for VAT on the industry to be cut from 20% to 10%.Under the banner “VAT’s the problem”, the campaign will be publicly launched from Wednesday in the hope of convincing visitors to venues across the country to sign a petition backing the reduction.Labour’s decision to increase employers’ national insurance contributions and the national minimum wage, coupled with soaring inflation and energy costs, have piled pressure on a sector operating on threadbare margins.But the industry is focusing its efforts on securing a VAT cut, estimated to cost the Treasury between £10.5bn and £12bn, a policy that has received tentative backing from Britain’s prime ministerial hopeful, Andy Burnham.In a joint statement, a group of trade bodies representing the sector highlighted the “devastating impact” of taxation.Survey data commissioned by the industry group indicates that 23% of respondents are losing money, a significant jump from 15% at the last checkup three months ago. One in six businesses said they run the risk of going bust inside 12 months; while 5% said they are not financially viable.“Our hospitality culture in the UK is the best in the world, but we continue to be hit with unfair levels of tax,” said Kerridge, who has six venues and three Michelin stars.The UK rate on food and drink service is higher than counterparts in Europe, where the average is 12.8%.France, Spain and Italy all charge 10%, Germany charges 7% and the Republic of Ireland is due to lower the rate for food-led businesses from 13.5% to 9% on Wednesday.“Almost every other country recognises the need to support hospitality with a lower rate of VAT,” said Kerridge, who is backed by figures including Wahaca founder Thomasina Miers and Nick Mackenzie, the chief executive of 2,700-venue pubs chain Greene King, and chef-restaurateur Ravneet Gill.Despite broad support for a VAT cut within hospitality, the proposal has met with scepticism from the independent thinktank Tax Policy Associates, which warned that it would mainly benefit big businesses and that £12bn could be better spent to spur growth.Burnham has previously indicated that he would support a reduction, although he did not mention it in a speech on economic priorities delivered on Monday.Pointing to the survey data, the trade bodies said VAT would be the “most impactful” way to address the problem.“The reality is stark,” they said.“The number of businesses now operating at a loss is accelerating rapidly and too many businesses are facing the gut-wrenching decision of whether they have to close their doors for good.”“The government needs to act to back hospitality and reduce its tax burden.”
§ 05

Entities

12 identified
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Keywords & salience

10 terms
hospitality sector
1.00
vat cut
1.00
uk pubs and restaurants
0.90
financial viability
0.80
business pressure
0.70
taxation impact
0.70
inflation and energy costs
0.60
sector-specific vat
0.50
tom kerridge
0.40
andy burnham
0.40
§ 07

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