Trump says US forces to stay near Iran, ready for ‘next conquest’

Donald Trump stated that US forces will remain stationed around Iran until a "REAL AGREEMENT" is fully implemented, threatening military action if Iran fails to meet US demands. This statement casts doubt on a recently brokered ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, which paused weeks of fighting and calmed global markets concerned about disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump reiterated demands that Iran abandon nuclear ambitions and ensure safe passage through the shipping lane. Iranian news agencies published a chart suggesting the IRGC had placed sea mines in the Strait of Hormuz during the war, raising further concerns. Scepticism regarding the ceasefire remains high within Iran.

New accounts on the prediction market Polymarket profited significantly from well-timed bets on a US-Iran ceasefire on Tuesday. These new users placed substantial "yes" bets shortly before Donald Trump announced the ceasefire, despite his earlier escalating rhetoric and lack of clear signals of a deal. Analysis of blockchain data revealed at least 50 newly created wallets made these profitable bets, with some earning hundreds of thousands of dollars. One user, for example, invested $72,000 and cashed out for $200,000 in profit. While some users received payouts, Polymarket has labeled the ceasefire contract as "disputed" due to ongoing restrictions and attacks, potentially delaying payouts for others. The identity of the individuals behind these new wallets remains unknown, as Polymarket uses proxy smart contract wallets.