EXPLAINEROld rivalries, territorial disputes and new alliances are reshaping the conflict in
Ethiopia’s north.(
Al Jazeera)Published On 2 Oct 2026Fighting is intensifying across northern
Ethiopia, almost four years after a peace deal ended a devastating two-year war in the country’s
Tigray region.The conflict has also spread into the neighbouring
Amhara and
Afar regions. Government-aligned forces say they captured the strategic town of Alamata,
Tigray, on September 28, while Tigrayan forces have pushed into
Afar.Telecommunications have been cut across much of
Tigray and commercial flights have been suspended, separating families and hampering humanitarian operations.
Ethiopia’s army chief has accused
Eritrea,
Sudan’s army and
Egypt of backing the armed groups, raising fears of a wider regional war. All countries have denied the allegations, with
Egypt adding that it strictly respects the sovereignty of neighbouring states.In this visual explainer,
Al Jazeera maps where the fighting is, who is involved and how
Ethiopia got here.Where is the fighting happening?Fighting is concentrated in three regions in northern
Ethiopia:
Tigray,
Amhara and
Afar. There are several active fronts rather than a single battlefield.In southern
Tigray, government forces and their allies have taken Alamata, a strategic town about 120km (75 miles) south of the regional capital, Mekelle.The town is a supply hub for troops, fuel and food near
Tigray’s border with
Amhara.On September 22, between 15 and 17 drone strikes hit Alamata, including several schools and a hospital, according to the conflict monitor
ACLED.To the west, a separate front has opened near the Tekeze River in western
Tigray, an area disputed between
Tigray and
Amhara.Fighting has also spread into northern
Amhara, around Kobo and Gidan in North Wello zone and Sekota in Wag Hemra zone, which government forces retook on September 27.Further east, Tigrayan forces and the
Afar armed group Ugugumo have advanced into
Afar, where fighting has been reported along the
Tigray-
Afar border and around Erebti and Abala.The advance matters because it could threaten the Semera-
Djibouti corridor,
Ethiopia’s main route for imports, including fuel.Which main groups are fighting?Seven Ethiopian armed and political groups announced an alliance on September 20 aimed at removing Prime Minister
Abiy Ahmed’s government and establishing an inclusive transitional government.The group is called the
Ethiopian Peoples’ Forces Alliance for Survival, or the Alliance for Survival. Its members include:The
Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF): The alliance’s main military force, whose fighters launched the latest offensive. It dominated Ethiopian politics for nearly three decades before Abiy took office in 2018. War broke out between the TPLF and federal forces in November 2020.The
Amhara Fano National Movement: A coalition of Fano factions that turned against Abiy’s government in 2023, after fighting alongside federal forces during the
Tigray war.The Oromo Liberation Army (OLA): It has fought federal forces in Oromia since 2018, seeking greater self-determination for the Oromo.The other groups named in the alliance are the Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF), the
Afar Revolutionary Democratic Unity Front (also known as Ugugumo), the Benishangul Peoples’ Liberation Movement and the Gumuz Peoples’ Democratic Movement. On September 25, the Sidama National Liberation Front announced that it would also join.The alliance’s membership is contested. According to Jalale Getachew Birru, senior East Africa analyst at
ACLED, the Gumuz Peoples’ Democratic Movement has denied joining, saying it has no armed wing. The ONLF is split: one faction backs the alliance, while another says it is not part of it. The OLA has indicated that its main interest is removing the government rather than joining coordinated military operations.
ACLED says only three members, the TPLF, the
Amhara Fano National Movement and Ugugumo, were actively fighting federal forces as of September 26.In its founding statement, the alliance accused the government of “dictatorial rule”. It said a transitional government would end the country’s wars, protect rights and open a national dialogue.What are the regions of
Ethiopia?
Ethiopia is a landlocked country in the Horn of Africa, bordered by
Eritrea,
Sudan, South
Sudan, Kenya, Somalia and
Djibouti. With about 139 million people, it is Africa’s second-most populous country after Nigeria.It is also one of the world’s most ethnically diverse countries, with more than 80 groups. The Oromo are the largest, making up about 35 percent of the population, followed by the
Amhara at about 24 percent. Other major groups include Somali (7 percent), Tigrayan (6 percent) and Sidama (4 percent).
Ethiopia is divided into 12 regional states and two chartered cities, Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa. The federal system, introduced in 1992 and formalised in the 1994 constitution, largely follows ethnic and linguistic divisions.The renewed fighting stems from political and territorial tensions left unresolved following
Ethiopia’s 2020-2022
Tigray war. The
Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and the federal government remain divided over political control, security and disputed territory.Tensions have been building for months. According to the conflict monitor
ACLED, clashes between Tigrayan and federal forces began near the Sudanese border on August 1, followed by federal drone strikes and Tigrayan troop deployments.In September, Tigrayan forces moved tanks and artillery south. There were also reports of renewed recruitment and forced mobilisation in
Tigray.On September 20, the TPLF and six other armed and political groups announced the
Ethiopian Peoples’ Forces Alliance for Survival, which aims to overthrow Abiy’s government and install a transitional administration.Three days later, on September 23, fighting escalated sharply. Tigrayan forces seized the airports in Mekelle, Axum and Shire and pushed into neighbouring
Afar and
Amhara. The government says the TPLF launched an “all-out offensive”. The TPLF says it is fighting a “defensive war” and accuses federal forces of attacking with aircraft, drones and artillery.