The US-Israeli war on Iran could rewrite Gulf security calculations

AI Summary
On March 1, 2026, a US-Israeli war on Iran began, immediately impacting the Middle East, particularly the Gulf region. Iran retaliated against the initial bombardment, striking not only Israel but also Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman with missiles and drones, targeting US military bases, airports, ports, and commercial areas. This conflict threatens the established Gulf stability, which relies on US security guarantees, managed rivalry with Iran, and GCC coordination. The prolonged war could force Gulf states to re-evaluate their defense strategies, alliances, and long-term economic plans, potentially disrupting the region's pursuit of stability and economic prosperity. The conflict challenges the recent trend of Gulf diplomacy favoring dialogue and de-escalation.
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