Khamenei is dead. But China’s ties with Iran will endure. Here’s why

South China Morning PostEN 1 min read 100% complete by Zhao ZiwenMarch 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM
Khamenei is dead. But China’s ties with Iran will endure. Here’s why

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Following the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a US-Israeli air strike, China condemned the action amidst turmoil in Tehran and regional escalation. Despite the political uncertainty, analysts predict China's economic relationship with Iran, as its top oil buyer and trade partner, will remain strong. China is expected to maintain a pragmatic approach to Iran's new leadership, even if Tehran shifts towards the West, potentially impacting Chinese diplomatic and defense goals in the Middle East. A temporary leadership council consisting of Alireza Arafi, Masoud Pezeshkian, and Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei will govern until the Assembly of Experts selects Khamenei's successor. The US President has called for regime change in Iran.

Keywords

china-iran relations 90% leadership succession 80% political upheaval 70% oil buyer 60% trade partner 60% middle east 50% regime change 50% defence ambitions 40% diplomatic ambitions 40%

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