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BTC Simulator

Leaderboard: ML Model vs Random vs Buy & Hold strategies.

#1

BTC Buy & Hold

Buy & Hold
+6.18%
$106,183
Trades
0
Win Rate
0%
Max DD
2.4%
#2

BTC Random

Random
+0.65%
$100,651
Trades
0
Win Rate
0%
Max DD
0.3%
#3

BTC ML Model

ML Model
-0.50%
$99,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
0%
Max DD
0.5%

Equity Curves

BTC Buy & Hold
BTC Random
BTC ML Model

Trade History

No trades yet.

ML Model

Trades based on XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble predictions. Opens position when direction is not neutral and confidence exceeds threshold. Risk 10% per trade, 5% stop-loss, 15% take-profit.

Random

Seeded PRNG determines daily action: 20% buy, 20% sell, 60% hold. Same risk rules as ML. Serves as a statistical baseline — if ML can't beat random, the model has no edge.

Buy & Hold

Single long position on day 1 with 95% of capital. No stop-loss, no trading. The benchmark every active strategy must beat to justify its complexity.