BTC Simulator
Leaderboard: ML Model vs Random vs Buy & Hold strategies.
#1
Buy & HoldBTC Buy & Hold
+3.48%
$103,478
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Max DD
4.9%
#2
RandomBTC Random
+1.10%
$101,104
Trades
3
Win Rate
67%
Max DD
0.6%
#3
ML ModelBTC ML Model
-0.41%
$99,587
Trades
4
Win Rate
25%
Max DD
1.3%
Equity Curves
BTC Buy & Hold
BTC Random
BTC ML Model
Trade History
No trades yet.
ML Model
Trades based on XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble predictions. Opens position when direction is not neutral and confidence exceeds threshold. Risk 10% per trade, 5% stop-loss, 15% take-profit.
Random
Seeded PRNG determines daily action: 20% buy, 20% sell, 60% hold. Same risk rules as ML. Serves as a statistical baseline — if ML can't beat random, the model has no edge.
Buy & Hold
Single long position on day 1 with 95% of capital. No stop-loss, no trading. The benchmark every active strategy must beat to justify its complexity.