Tuesday briefing: How the conflict in Iran shattered the Gulf state image of peace and luxury

The article discusses the escalating conflict in the Middle East following a US-Israeli attack on Iran in late February. Drones and missiles have struck the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia, disrupting oil and gas industries and causing tourists and expats to leave. The UK has stated it will not be drawn into the wider war, even after Donald Trump called for allies to send warships to the strait of Hormuz. In other news, Keir Starmer announced £53m in government support for households reliant on heating oil. A student in Kent died from meningitis, and campaigners are calling for pollution alerts in Windermere after a child contracted E. coli. The BBC is seeking to dismiss Donald Trump's $10bn lawsuit over a documentary. Finally, Belgium's prime minister is facing criticism for suggesting normalized relations with Russia to restore cheap energy supplies.

On March 17, 2026, a drone attack sparked a fire at the Fujairah Oil Industry Zone in the UAE, part of sustained attacks by Iran on Gulf countries. This follows another fire at the same oil hub on Saturday due to intercepted drone debris. Abu Dhabi also reported falling debris from a intercepted ballistic missile, resulting in one death. The UAE's air defenses are actively repelling incoming missiles and drones from Iran, causing airspace closures. Iran justifies these attacks by citing the presence of US military bases in Gulf countries after joint US-Israeli air attacks on Tehran began on February 28, but civilian infrastructure has been hit. The UAE, which normalized relations with Israel in 2020, has faced the most attacks, with over 1,800 missiles and drones fired by Iran.

Following a US strike that killed a top Iranian leader, former President Trump is urging US allies to send warships to the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's joint military command has threatened retaliation, specifically mentioning potential attacks on cities in the UAE, claiming the US launched strikes on Iran's Kharg Island from there, though without providing evidence. The Trump administration has offered varying justifications for the strike, citing concerns ranging from Iran's nuclear program to its ballistic missile capabilities. US Central Command released video purportedly showing US forces destroying targets on Kharg Island, Iran. Tensions are high in the region as Iran vows to respond.

Drone and missile attacks struck the UAE on Monday, disrupting flights in Dubai and causing a fatality in Abu Dhabi. A drone attack near Dubai airport ignited a fuel tank fire, leading to temporary flight disruptions. In Abu Dhabi, a missile strike killed a civilian. Separately, oil infrastructure in Fujairah was targeted by a drone, resulting in a fire. These incidents follow claims by an Iranian official that rockets were launched from the UAE to attack Kharg Island, which UAE officials deny. Dubai Airports reported a gradual resumption of flights after the drone-related incident.

On March 16, 2026, a fire erupted near Dubai International Airport after a drone attack ignited a fuel tank. According to authorities in the United Arab Emirates, the incident caused the suspension of flights at the airport. Civil defense crews responded to the scene and reported that the blaze was under control. The cause of the fire was attributed to a drone strike, though further details about the perpetrator or motive were not immediately available. The incident is under investigation.

Amidst the ongoing Israel-United States war with Iran, Ukraine sent specialists to Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan to assist Middle Eastern countries in defending against Iranian drone attacks. President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine seeks financial support and technology in exchange for its expertise in countering Iranian drones, particularly given Russia's extensive use of similar drones in the Russia-Ukraine war. While Ukraine denies direct involvement in military operations against Iran, it aims to establish long-term drone deals with Gulf countries. Zelenskyy also expressed interest in a drone agreement with the US, potentially worth billions of dollars, but President Trump has indicated that the US does not need Ukraine's assistance.

On March 12, 2026, amidst the ongoing United States-Israel war on Iran, Iran launched missile and drone attacks targeting Gulf nations, causing significant disruption. Bahrain reported strikes on fuel tanks in Muharraq Governorate, prompting residents to stay indoors. Saudi Arabia intercepted drones aimed at the Shaybah oilfield and the embassies district, while Kuwait reported a drone attack on a residential building, wounding two. The United Arab Emirates responded to a missile threat, and a container ship was attacked near Jebel Ali. Jordan experienced sirens in all cities. These attacks have further destabilized global energy markets, with Brent crude prices rising sharply.

Iran significantly escalated attacks on civilian infrastructure and transport networks across the Gulf on Wednesday, targeting commercial ships and Dubai's international airport. These actions occurred as US and Israeli warplanes launched new strikes. The UAE, particularly Dubai, has borne the brunt of these attacks, facing an existential threat as foreigners flee. The escalation has caused oil prices to rise above $100 a barrel, with Iran threatening a long "war of attrition." Meanwhile, a review revealed the US defense secretary has voiced extreme antipathy towards Iran for years. A bill addressing the situation has passed the House, but lacks the necessary votes in the Senate due to filibuster rules.

Amidst escalating conflict in the Middle East, Israel declared the war against Iran was entering a "decisive phase." On Saturday, explosions occurred across the region, including strikes on the US embassy in Baghdad and a major Emirati energy facility in Fujairah. The US embassy in Iraq was hit by a drone, marking the second attack since the US and Israel initiated strikes against Iran, plunging the Gulf into conflict. The ongoing conflict, now in its third week, has resulted in reported deaths of over 1,200 people in Iran, mass displacement, and a surge in oil prices due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranian military warned UAE civilians to avoid port areas following the attack on the Fujairah oil terminal.

In March 2026, Qatar's UN ambassador, Sheikha Alya Ahmed bin Saif Al Thani, condemned Iran's missile and drone attacks across the Middle East as violations of international law and the UN Charter. She urged the UN Security Council to take immediate action to halt these attacks, warning that inaction would signal that aggression against uninvolved nations has no consequences. Her statement came before the Security Council voted on a resolution denouncing the attacks on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Iran initiated these strikes, targeting what it claimed were US and Israeli assets, after the two countries launched a war against Iran in late February. The attacks have disrupted civilian infrastructure, energy production, and flights, causing casualties in multiple countries, including US service members.

Hamas, the ruling group in Gaza, has made a rare public appeal to its key ally Iran, urging it to cease attacks on Gulf states. The call comes amidst escalating regional tensions, with Iran conducting retaliatory strikes that have impacted civilian infrastructure and resulted in casualties in the UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain. While affirming Iran's right to self-defense against the US and Israel, Hamas emphasized the need for regional cooperation and an immediate halt to the ongoing conflict. Hamas, a member of Iran's "axis of resistance," receives significant financial, military, and political support from Tehran, even as countries like Turkey and Qatar, also targeted by Iran, provide support to Hamas. The group expressed deep concern over the regional war and called for international intervention to end it.

Hamas, the Palestinian Islamist movement, publicly appealed to Iran on Saturday to avoid targeting neighboring countries in its response to aggression from Israel and the United States. While affirming Iran's right to defend itself, Hamas urged restraint to prevent further regional escalation. This marks a rare public statement from Hamas directed towards Tehran. The appeal comes amidst heightened tensions in the Middle East following the death of Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei. Hamas also called on the international community to intervene and halt the ongoing war, acknowledging Khamenei's significant support for the Palestinian cause.

Iran has escalated attacks on energy infrastructure and transport in the Middle East, setting ablaze two tankers in Iraqi waters. This action is part of a broader campaign to disrupt energy markets, contributing to oil prices reaching $100 a barrel. Conflicting reports have emerged regarding Iran's stance on allowing India-flagged tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil trade. While one Indian source indicated passage would be permitted, Reuters reported an Iranian source denying this. The attacks and uncertainty surrounding tanker passage are impacting global oil markets.

On March 2, 2026, Iran's retaliatory strikes against US assets in the Gulf region entered their third day, escalating fears of a prolonged conflict. Explosions were reported in Dubai, Doha, and Kuwait, with Kuwaiti air defenses intercepting drones near residential areas. Iran stated the attacks were in response to ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, targeting US military assets and impacting civilian areas across Gulf cities. Bahrain activated air raid alerts and closed a major bridge. Casualties have been reported in Kuwait, the UAE, and Qatar, while US-Israeli attacks have resulted in significant casualties in Iran and Israel. The US, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE jointly condemned Iran's attacks and affirmed their right to self-defense.

Multiple Gulf nations, including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait, reported missile and drone attacks on Saturday. These attacks occurred despite an earlier apology from the Iranian president to Gulf countries, where he stated they would not be targeted unless strikes originated from their territory. Hours later, Iran declared its intent to continue strikes on sites within Gulf countries it considered to be at the disposal of its enemies. The UAE's president acknowledged the country was in "a period of war." Dubai authorities reported one death, a Pakistani national, resulting from debris from an aerial interception. Kuwait's national oil company announced a precautionary cut to production.

In March 2026, escalating conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has spread across multiple fronts. The US Embassy in Saudi Arabia was hit by Iranian drones amidst increasing attacks on Iran by the US and Israel. Strikes occurred across Tehran, while Israel conducted a targeted attack on Hezbollah members in Beirut and southern Lebanon. During an Iranian air assault, three US fighter jets were mistakenly downed by Kuwaiti fire. Protests in support of Iran took place in Baghdad. The conflict has resulted in casualties and widespread damage in the region.

Israeli Minister Amichai Chikli outlined a U.S.-Israeli mission in Iran with two main goals: removing existential threats and creating conditions for regime change. The immediate threat includes destroying Iranian ballistic missiles capable of reaching Israeli cities. While the IDF and U.S. Army won't replace the regime, the mission aims to empower the Iranian people to "regain their freedom." Former President Trump encouraged Iranians to take over their government after U.S. and Israeli military operations conclude. A U.S. official confirmed that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in an Israeli strike in Tehran as part of "Operation Epic Fury." Chikli envisions an Iran aligned with the West, potentially becoming an ally to Israel, the U.S., and other nations in the region.

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard is a powerful paramilitary force within Iran, established after the 1979 Islamic Revolution to protect the theocracy. It answers only to the Supreme Leader and operates independently of the regular armed forces. The Guard controls Iran's ballistic missile arsenal, conducts foreign operations through its Quds Force, and backs groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis. It also has significant economic power, running construction companies and other businesses. The Guard's Quds Force is accused of training militants and hiring criminals to target Iran's enemies abroad, which Iran denies.

Dubai residents and tourists were shaken when Iranian missiles and drones approached the Gulf states over the weekend, triggering air defenses in the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain. Many initially mistook the interceptors for fireworks, as Dubai attempted to maintain its image of stability amidst regional conflict. While some residents received official alerts, others were caught off guard. Fires and smoke were reported at Dubai and Abu Dhabi airports due to drone debris, resulting in one death and several injuries. Smoke was also seen at the Jebel Ali port area in Dubai, one of the busiest ports in the Middle East. The incident challenged Dubai's long-held perception as a safe haven insulated from regional political turmoil.

On March 1, 2026, air traffic in the Middle East experienced significant disruption. According to Flightradar24, over 3,400 flights were canceled within the preceding 48 hours. The cancellations affected seven airports across the region. Airports impacted included those located in Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain. The reason for the widespread flight cancellations was not specified in the report.

Airspace closures across the Middle East, triggered by attacks between America/Israel and Iran, caused widespread flight disruptions, stranding or diverting hundreds of thousands of travelers. Several countries, including Israel, Qatar, Syria, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, and Bahrain, closed their airspace, leading to the suspension of operations at key international airports in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha. Major airlines like Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad cancelled thousands of flights, impacting an estimated 90,000 passengers daily passing through these hubs. Over 3,400 flights were cancelled across seven major Middle Eastern airports on Sunday. Some airports and landmarks in the region sustained damage, resulting in injuries and at least one reported death. The closure of Iranian airspace was extended until Tuesday morning.

On February 28, 2026, Iran confirmed retaliatory attacks on US assets located in Gulf Arab states, including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, following a joint US-Israeli attack on Iran. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed responsibility, stating that all US and Israeli military targets in the Middle East were struck. Bahrain reported an attack targeting the US Navy's 5th Fleet headquarters, while Kuwait experienced explosions near the US military's Central Command headquarters. Qatar's Defense Ministry stated it intercepted missiles before they reached Qatari territory. The UAE reported at least one death in Abu Dhabi after intercepting missiles launched from Iran.

Iran launched missiles and drones targeting Israel and US military installations in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar in response to recent attacks by the US and Israel. The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated the action was in defense of the homeland. The UAE and Iraq closed their airspace, and shrapnel from an Iranian missile killed one person in the UAE. Israel issued a nationwide warning and activated its missile defense systems to intercept incoming projectiles. There were initially few reports of damage or injuries in Israel.

The US and Israel have launched a joint military attack on Iran, with explosions reported in Tehran near the supreme leader's office. President Trump declared the start of "major combat operations" and called for regime change, urging Iranians to overthrow their government. In response, Iran launched retaliatory missile and drone strikes targeting Israel and US military bases across the Middle East, with explosions reported in multiple countries. Both Israel and Iran have closed their airspace to civilian flights. The US and Israel claim the attack was a pre-emptive strike against Iranian threats and are encouraging a popular uprising against the Iranian government.

Following reported strikes in Iran by the US and Israel, Australia's National Security Committee is convening. Foreign Minister Penny Wong stated Australia was not informed in advance of the strikes and has updated travel advice for Israel, Lebanon, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. A crisis center has been activated to provide consular support to Australians in the region, and a registration portal has opened for Australians in Iran and Israel. Wong emphasized Iran's destabilizing role in the region and stated that Australia did not participate in the strikes. The Australian government advises Australians in the affected region to follow travel advice and seek safety, acknowledging potential difficulties with repatriation due to airspace closures.

Following Israeli and US airstrikes on Iran, the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs (Dfat) has warned Australians of potential "reprisal attacks and further escalation" across the Middle East. Dfat updated its Smartraveller website, advising against travel to Iran and urging those in the country to leave if safe, citing the risk of military conflict and potential airspace closures impacting global flights. Australians remaining in Iran are advised to prepare to shelter in place with adequate supplies. The Australian embassy's operations in Iran are suspended. Prior to the attacks, Australia had already advised citizens in Israel and Lebanon to consider leaving and withdrew dependents of officials from Israel and Lebanon due to the deteriorating security situation.