Trump says war ‘can’t go much longer’ – what’s the latest on talks?

Iran's Foreign Minister announced that negotiations with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz are in their final stages, with a deal on a new maritime route expected soon. This development follows US President Donald Trump's statement that the US would hold off on new attacks against Iran if a rapid deal could be reached. Iran insists the vital waterway will not revert to its pre-war status, blaming the US for its closure. Trump stated that any deal would require the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to Iran's nuclear threat. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman reportedly urged Trump to prioritize dialogue and de-escalation.

US and Qatari officials report progress in negotiations aimed at restoring a ceasefire with Iran and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Mediators, including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, are exchanging proposals between Washington and Tehran to bridge gaps and revive a prior ceasefire deal. While optimistic speculation led to a 2% drop in oil prices, the strait remains closed, and a cargo vessel was reportedly struck near Oman. The negotiations, involving Oman and Iran directly, focus on establishing safe shipping routes, with a temporary transit scheme being discussed. Disagreements within Tehran and pressure from regional powers like Saudi Arabia complicate the talks.

US President Donald Trump stated on Monday that Iran has its "last chance" to reach an agreement with Washington regarding the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing conflict. Speaking from the White House, Trump indicated that negotiations are currently underway, a claim Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman denied, asserting no direct talks were happening. Trump suggested these discussions were initiated at Iran's request, with support from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar. This comes after Trump had previously suspended plans for military strikes against Iran over the weekend.

President Trump stated that the war with Iran is nearing its end and that petrol prices will drop once it concludes, claiming to be involved in negotiations. However, Iran denies direct talks with the US, stating they are only speaking with Oman regarding control of the Strait of Hormuz. Reports suggest Iran is considering a bill to bar US and Israeli vessels from the strait. Experts express skepticism about the likelihood of a swift end to the conflict, citing a pattern of Trump's threats followed by cancellations and a lack of trust in US commitments from Iran. While Iran and Oman have agreed on shipping route coordinates, resolving the Strait of Hormuz issue is seen as separate from broader US-Iran war talks.

Iran has announced it is in the final stages of an agreement with Oman to establish a new shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz. This move comes amidst ongoing tensions with the United States, which Iran claims is responsible for insecurity in the strait due to naval blockades and aggressive actions. The new route is described as temporary, potentially lasting two to four months. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has decreased since the start of a conflict, with Iran previously stating that all passage requires prior clearance and has attacked vessels that did not comply. A previous Memorandum of Understanding between Iran and the US aimed at resolving issues in the strait and ending a war quickly failed.

U.S. President Donald Trump threatened further strikes on Iran, citing Iran's alleged violation of a truce and attacks on commercial ships and American soldiers, as the U.S. pushes to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Following these threats, Kuwait reported responding to Iranian drone attacks on vital facilities, and a tanker was struck in the Strait of Hormuz. In Gaza, Israel conducted heavy strikes after the militant group Hamas agreed to disarm, a move that remains a potential breakthrough for ending the war but faces significant obstacles. Elsewhere, Houthi rebels blockaded Saudi shipping, forcing vessels to reroute, and Israeli forces destroyed an underground tunnel network in southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced a pause on planned attacks against Iran, stating that the "perimeters of a deal has been agreed to" with Iran and other Middle Eastern countries. Trump indicated that this deal would require Iran to immediately and completely open the Strait of Hormuz and cease its nuclear program. However, Iran has denied Trump's claim that Tehran requested the U.S. to hold off on strikes, calling it a "new lie" and asserting their military readiness. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, disrupting global energy supplies. Reports suggest Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman urged Trump to de-escalate. The U.S. is also reportedly facing concerns about depleting munitions, particularly Patriot anti-missile interceptors.

President Donald Trump announced he will halt new strikes against Iran, stating that Middle Eastern allies have reached parameters for a deal to end the five-month war. The emerging agreement, according to Trump, would include the complete opening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to Iran's nuclear threat. Israel has agreed to join the U.S. in pursuing this agreement. This announcement comes after Trump had suggested a resumption of heavy military strikes was imminent. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman had previously expressed concerns to Trump about potential escalation and Iranian retaliation. The U.S. and Israel initiated the conflict on February 28th, aiming to dismantle Tehran's missile capabilities and prevent nuclear weapon acquisition.

President Trump has struggled to find common ground with Iran's leadership amidst ongoing Middle East tensions. Despite Trump's claims of impending negotiations and potential deals for opening the Strait of Hormuz and denuclearization, Iran has denied any peace talks are underway, stating they are negotiating with Oman for passage through the strait. Iran has demonstrated its ability to reignite conflict by launching ballistic missiles and maintaining control over the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial waterway for global oil supply. This strategic unpredictability has strengthened Iran's negotiating position. The situation is time-sensitive for Trump, with a looming global energy crisis and upcoming midterm elections where public support for the war is low.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced it struck two oil tankers attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz under US aerial escort. This incident occurred as President Trump convened his cabinet to discuss the ongoing conflict and rising energy prices, which are impacting upcoming midterm elections. The strait has been largely closed to traffic for two weeks, contributing to soaring energy costs. Fighting has spread across the Middle East, with Kuwait reporting downing Iranian drones and Israel conducting strikes in Lebanon. The prolonged conflict, which Trump had predicted would be short, is facing waning public and congressional support in the US, while energy companies report record profits.

Regional attacks are escalating as Iran pushes back against the United States. Iran's IRGC claimed responsibility for strikes on a US base in Jordan, which the US president threatened to retaliate against. Iran also reported a missile strike in West Azerbaijan province, while Hezbollah targeted an Israeli military vehicle. The Houthis have attacked Saudi oil facilities, and the US and Saudi Arabia struck Iran-aligned forces in Iraq. Iran rejected an Omani proposal for joint oversight of the Strait of Hormuz, citing security concerns and accusing the US of reneging on commitments. This rejection, coupled with increased military actions, suggests a hardening of Iran's position and fears of further escalation.

Recent U.S. and Saudi Arabian airstrikes in Iraq targeting Iran-allied Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) have intensified Iraq's difficult balancing act between Washington and Tehran. These strikes, a response to Saudi accusations of drone attacks by Iraqi militias on oil facilities, hit bases of the PMF, a group officially part of Iraq's security forces but often operating autonomously and with close ties to Iran. The PMF has also attacked U.S. forces in Iraq. Iraq's government has set a September deadline for non-state armed groups to disarm, but powerful factions close to Iran have refused. Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi faces pressure from the U.S. to control the PMF, but confronting them could lead to internal unrest. The PMF reported casualties from the strikes, and a planned visit by al-Zaidi to Saudi Arabia was postponed.

The US military conducted "heavy" strikes against Iran on Wednesday in retaliation for attempted Iranian ballistic missile attacks on American forces. Centcom stated these strikes targeted "dozens" of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targets in response to Iran firing missiles at US bases in Jordan and ships in the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. These actions follow recent US-Saudi strikes on Iranian proxies in Iraq and come after a period of relative calm during which talks for a diplomatic solution were reportedly underway, though Iran denied discussions were happening. All Iranian missiles fired on Tuesday were intercepted.

Saudi Arabia and thirteen other nations have formed the Multinational Maritime Defense Alliance to enhance collective maritime defense cooperation and secure vital waterways. Announced on Thursday, the alliance aims to protect freedom of navigation, international trade, and energy supply routes through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Aden. This initiative comes amid escalating hostilities, particularly attacks by Iran-backed Houthi fighters on this strategic corridor. The alliance's activities will include intelligence sharing, operational planning, and joint exercises, with its nature described as purely defensive. The participating states view maritime security as a shared responsibility to confront transnational threats.

Jordan's air defenses intercepted five missiles launched from Iran early Wednesday, with the Jordanian military confirming they were destroyed. This occurred shortly after the U.S. military announced it had downed an Iranian missile barrage targeting American forces in the Middle East, ending a brief lull in hostilities. U.S. Central Command stated that all Iranian missiles aimed at U.S. forces were intercepted. In conjunction with Saudi Arabia, U.S. forces also struck sites in Iraq used by Iran-backed militias for launching attacks. The U.S. warned that further aggression against American troops or Saudi energy infrastructure would prompt additional action.

Saudi Arabia faces a dilemma regarding its involvement in the escalating regional conflict between the US and Iran. While the US and Saudi Arabia recently conducted strikes against Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces, Saudi Arabia is attempting to avoid a full-scale war. This cautious approach is driven by Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman's "Vision 2030" initiative, which aims to diversify the Saudi economy away from oil, attract foreign investment, and develop domestic industries. These ambitious economic goals, including the construction of vulnerable infrastructure like data centers, are jeopardized by regional instability. Iran's ongoing drone and missile attacks on countries like Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain, alongside targeting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, contribute to the widening conflict, further complicating Saudi Arabia's strategic choices.