Bolsonaro favourite to win: What Brazil’s first round of elections tells us
Right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro has emerged as the favorite to win Brazil's presidential election after exceeding expectations in the first round, securing 47 percent of the vote. This result triggered a run-off on October 25 against incumbent left-wing President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who received 45.1 percent. Analysts suggest Bolsonaro is likely to win the second round, a prediction supported by historical trends where second-place finishers in the first round have not gone on to win the presidency since 1989. Bolsonaro's stronger-than-expected performance is attributed to a desire for change and potentially favorable market reactions. The election also saw several members of the Bolsonaro family win congressional seats, indicating a significant political presence for the family.