ANALYSISPakistan faces growing pressure to honour its Saudi defence commitments while keeping diplomatic channel to
Iran open.
Iran's Foreign Minister
Abbas Araghchi, left, meets
Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal
Asim Munir in Islamabad, April 25, 2026.[Iranian Foreign Ministry handout via AP Photo]Published On 11 Sep 2026Islamabad,
Pakistan —
Iran’s Foreign Minister
Abbas Araghchi had two phone calls on Thursday night: one with
Pakistan’s chief of defence forces, Field Marshal
Asim Munir, the other with
Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister, Prince
Faisal bin Farhan.The calls capped the most dramatic week yet in the
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Houthi-Saudi war.Recommended Stories list of 4 itemslist 1 of 4Houthis, Yemeni forces engaged in fierce battles: Why each front matterslist 2 of 4Houthis capture Yemeni town of Mocha: Why it’s importantlist 3 of 4UN envoy warns Security Council
Yemen’s war has entered ‘dangerous phase’list 4 of 4Houthis control key shipping route after gains along
Yemen’s Red Sea coastend of listHouthi drones and missiles wounded 73 people and set oil facilities ablaze in four Saudi cities on Tuesday, among the heaviest strikes of the war, according to the Saudi-led coalition.
Iran-backed
Houthi fighters reached the coastal town of Mocha at dawn on Thursday and pushed offshore to seize nearby islands. By Friday morning, they had grabbed control of all of
Yemen’s Red Sea coast. Yemeni government officials said fighters also reached Dhubab, on the
Bab al-Mandeb coast, while boats carrying
Houthi fighters reached Mayyun Island, at the heart of the strait, after government forces withdrew.There has been no official announcement by
Houthi authorities confirming control of the strait.Brent crude surpassed $107 a barrel on Friday, as the advance raised fears that both of
Saudi Arabia’s main export routes, the
Strait of Hormuz and
Bab al-Mandeb, could come under pressure at once — one by
Iran directly, the other by Tehran’s ally, the Houthis.Satellite images on Thursday appeared to show a fire along the East-West pipeline,
Saudi Arabia’s main Hormuz-bypass route, which carries close to seven million barrels a day over 1,200km (746 miles) to Yanbu.Riyadh has not confirmed a pipeline strike.Earlier this week,
Pakistan’s Defence Minister,
Khawaja Asif, warned that the mutual defence pact between
Pakistan,
Saudi Arabia and Turkiye “will definitely“ be activated if the fighting spills further into the kingdom.But with Munir calling Tehran on Thursday night, analysts say the question is not whether
Pakistan is preparing to act, but whether diplomacy is the course Islamabad has already chosen.Gunmen in front of a
Houthi banner at an anti-Saudi rally in
Yemen’s capital Sanaa, July 31, 2026. [Khaled Abdullah/Reuters]A briefing full of non-denialsAt the Pakistani Foreign Office’s weekly briefing on Thursday, spokesperson Sajjad Haider Khan declined to confirm recent reports that Islamabad had passed a Saudi warning to
Iran to rein in the Houthis, calling them “unsubstantiated”.He was equally dismissive of a claim that
Saudi Arabia had asked
Pakistan to strike
Houthi positions in
Yemen, calling it “hypothetical” with “no discussion of this kind”.But when asked whether
Pakistan was reaching out to the Houthis through
Iran, Khan did not deny it.
Pakistan would “continue to pursue dialogue and diplomacy for peace and stability in the broader region”, Khan said.Jauhar Saleem,
Pakistan’s former foreign secretary and president of the Islamabad-based Institute of Regional Studies, called the phrasing deliberate.“In diplomacy, what is deliberately not said is as important as what is stated,” he told Al Jazeera, describing Islamabad’s language on the pact as emphasising “deterrence and de-escalation”.Four trips to Tehran and countingPakistan’s military chief Munir has travelled to Tehran four times since April. The latest visit came last month, days after a phone call from US President Donald Trump asking Islamabad to lean on Tehran.An Iranian source familiar with the diplomatic contacts told Al Jazeera that telephone diplomacy has intensified since the escalation began.“Over the past week to ten days, there have likely been three to four telephone conversations between the Pakistani field marshal and the Iranian foreign minister,” the source said.“Only two were made public, by the Iranian side,” the source added, describing the rest as in keeping with Islamabad’s preference for “silent diplomacy”.Al Jazeera received no response from Pakistani officials to questions on the unannounced contacts.Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Ishaq Dar, has been speaking separately with his Saudi and Turkish counterparts in recent days.“The role [as mediator between
Saudi Arabia and
Iran] fits with the pattern, but with much higher stakes,” Saleem said, arguing that
Pakistan’s commitments to Riyadh carry greater risk than its US-
Iran mediation ever did.An old scriptPakistan has been here before.In April 2015, its parliament unanimously rejected a Saudi request for troops, ships and warplanes to combat the Houthis, resolving that “
Pakistan should maintain neutrality in the
Yemen conflict so as to be able to play a proactive diplomatic role to end the crisis”.Saleem said now “could pose again the dilemma faced by
Pakistan’s foreign policy strategists a decade ago, in this very context”.A closer precedent came this year.When
Iran struck
Saudi Arabia directly in February and March, the kingdom in April announced the arrival of Pakistani forces in
Saudi Arabia, even though Islamabad did not directly enter the conflict.“This shows that the meaning of the mutual-defence principle in the bilateral pact, or the Mecca pact, is a matter calculated by the parties and does not mean the automatic entry of the parties if an attack occurs against the other,” Javad Heiran-Nia, an Iranian analyst on regional security, told Al Jazeera.A satellite image appears to show damage to the King Khalid Airbase in
Saudi Arabia that Houthis said was attacked on September 8, 2026. The Saudi government’s media office did not immediately respond to a request for comment. [Handout/Planet Labs via Reuters]How far can
Pakistan go?The specifics of what Munir and Araghchi spoke about on Thursday night remain unclear.But analyst Heiran-Nia said
Pakistan’s role was clear. “
Pakistan has recently conveyed
Saudi Arabia’s warning message to
Iran and asked Tehran to restrain its
Houthi allies,” he told Al Jazeera. “This action demonstrates
Pakistan’s active and operational role as a communication channel between the two sides.”On Tehran’s leverage over the group, he was equally direct.“
Iran has significant influence over the Houthis, although this influence is not absolute and unlimited,” he said. “It is true that the Houthis may in some cases make their decisions independently of
Iran, but their strategic interests align with Tehran.”On Friday, after the Houthis gained control of
Yemen’s Red Sea coast, Iranian leaders were quick to show where their loyalties lay.
Iran’s First Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref welcomed the “victories of the heroic nation of
Yemen,” in a post on X.Mohammad Mokhber, an adviser to
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, was even more direct in claiming influence over the Houthis, as a part of Tehran’s so-called Axis of Resistance.“Congratulations on this resounding victory, Ansar Allah,” Mokhber posted on X, referring to the Houthis by their formal name. “
Iran’s might in the
Strait of Hormuz and the homegrown resolve of the resistance have driven the US and its allies into a tactical and strategic impasse.”What comes nextAsif Durrani,
Pakistan’s former ambassador to
Iran and one-time special representative for Afghanistan, framed
Pakistan’s position differently.Under the Mecca pact, he told Al Jazeera, “the major issue is threat perception”, where member states raise concerns and partners respond at the request of the threatened state.