Israeli troops push into
Lebanon for yet another war with
Iran's proxy Hezbollah15 hours agoLucy WilliamsonMiddle East correspondent,
Israel-
Lebanon borderAFP via Getty ImagesSmoke rising from the southern Lebanese village of Odaisseh near the border with IsraelBeside
Israel's northern border fence, the bursts of machine-gun fire from inside
Lebanon are loud and long, as new Israeli forces push in to take strategic positions near the border.The regular rumble of air strikes echoes over the shattered remains of Shia villages, destroyed during
Israel's last ground war there in 2024.A senior military official said on Thursday that Israeli ground forces were taking additional hilltops inside
Lebanon - a defensive operation, he said, to better protect
Israel's northern communities.But there has been a significant military build-up here. On Friday morning we passed dozens of tanks and armoured bulldozers, newly-positioned right by the border, fuelling growing speculation that a full-scale ground invasion is planned.
Israel has issued a massive evacuation order for southern
Lebanon, reaching roughly 27km (16 miles) inside the country.The
Israel-defense-forces" class="entity-link entity-organization" data-entity-id="391" data-entity-type="organization">
Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff
Eyal Zamir has said the objective in
Lebanon is disarming
Hezbollah and that he will not let up until that is done."We may find ourselves manoeuvring into that area [south of the
Litani River] in one capacity or another and we don't want civilians there," said the senior military official, speaking on condition of anonymity."We have plans to go as deep as needed, including to the
Litani River and further, if instructed," he said, adding that forces were in place to move immediately if ordered.
Hezbollah joined the war alongside its ally
Iran on Monday and has been launching rockets and drones at northern
Israel each day, most of which are intercepted by
Israel's air defences.Residents in one Israeli border community that was hit by a drone on Tuesday told us they had no plans to leave. "Where would I go?" one neighbour told us, adding: "Jerusalem? Tel Aviv? It's more dangerous there now."
Israel's opposition leader
Yair Lapid told a local television channel that
Israel would "have no choice" but to create a "sterile zone" in southern
Lebanon, similar to the Yellow Line in Gaza that marks the boundary between territory held temporarily by Israeli forces and that controlled by
Hamas."An area with no Lebanese villages in it," he said. "It might be unaesthetic perhaps, or unpleasant, to scrape away two or three Lebanese villages, but they brought it upon themselves. No-one told them they had to become the host state of a terrorist organisation."Hundreds of thousands of Lebanese civilians have been fleeing Israeli air strikes in
Lebanon over the past few days, less than 18 months after a ceasefire ended the last conflict with
Israel in November 2024.During that war,
Israel fought its way house to house through many Lebanese border villages. Their crushed remains still litter the landscape. But some
Hezbollah fighters have reportedly returned to these areas, and
Israel is now fighting its way through the area again.Without those assaults on
Hezbollah in 2024, which left a key Iranian proxy severely weakened,
Israel would have found it much harder to launch its current war on
Iran – or the previous one in June last year - without a much higher cost at home.Old tank tracks on the Israeli side of the border still mark the places of that last invasion. But just days into this latest conflict, the mood in
Israel - basking in the military partnership with Donald Trump - is already breathlessly looking to a new future, and a new Middle East, prompting one Israeli commentator, Avi Issacharof, to urge his country to "come down to earth for a moment".Toppling the ayatollah [
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei] might sound "sexy", he wrote in the daily Yedioth Ahronoth, "but there are no crowds in the streets of Tehran, no widespread public protests, and as yet no minority militias seizing territory". He added that the end of Khamenei did not mean the end of the Iranian regime.Hard military might is
Israel's edge - but it has already fought many wars with
Iran's proxy forces,
Hezbollah and
Hamas, and returned to fight them again.
Israel's strategy and risk threshold might have changed since the 7 October 2023
Hamas attacks, but without a clear political post-war plan, few here are clear where a new Middle East might be heading.