NEWSAR
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SRCSouth China Morning Post
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ENT10
FRI · 2026-03-20 · 02:24 GMTBRIEF NSR-2026-0320-26192
News/Is Pakistan building ICBMs? Non-prolifer/Is Pakistan building ICBMs? Non-proliferation experts disput…
NSR-2026-0320-26192News Report·EN·National Security

Is Pakistan building ICBMs? Non-proliferation experts dispute US warning

A US intelligence assessment, presented by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, warned that Pakistan is researching and developing missile systems, including potential ICBMs, capable of striking the US homeland. This assessment places Pakistan among a group of countries prioritizing advanced missiles as threats.

Tom HussainSouth China Morning PostFiled 2026-03-20 · 02:24 GMTLean · Center-RightRead · 1 min
Is Pakistan building ICBMs? Non-proliferation experts dispute US warning
South China Morning PostFIG 01
Reading time
1min
Word count
189words
Sources cited
3cited
Entities identified
10entities
Quality score
100%
§ 01

Briefing Summary

AI-generated
NEWSAR · AI

A US intelligence assessment, presented by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, warned that Pakistan is researching and developing missile systems, including potential ICBMs, capable of striking the US homeland. This assessment places Pakistan among a group of countries prioritizing advanced missiles as threats. However, nuclear non-proliferation experts dispute this claim, suggesting Pakistan's defense program is focused on regional deterrence against India. Pakistan's foreign ministry spokesman Tahir Andrabi rejected the US claims, asserting that their strategic capabilities are defensive and aimed at maintaining regional stability. He stated that Pakistan's missile program remains below intercontinental range and is based on a doctrine of credible minimum deterrence against India.

Confidence 0.90Sources 3Claims 5Entities 10
§ 02

Article analysis

Model · rule-based
Framing
National Security
Diplomatic
Tone
Measured
AI-assessed
CalmNeutralAlarmist
Factuality
0.70 / 1.00
Factual
LowHigh
Sources cited
3
Well sourced
FewMany
§ 03

Key claims

5 extracted
01

Pakistan’s missile programme is rooted in credible minimum deterrence vis-a-vis India.

quoteTahir Andrabi, Pakistan’s foreign ministry spokesman
Confidence
0.90
02

Pakistan’s missile programme remains well below intercontinental range.

quoteTahir Andrabi, Pakistan’s foreign ministry spokesman
Confidence
0.90
03

Pakistan's strategic capabilities are exclusively defensive in nature.

quoteTahir Andrabi, Pakistan’s foreign ministry spokesman
Confidence
0.90
04

Pakistan is researching and developing missile delivery systems that can strike the US homeland.

quoteTulsi Gabbard, US Director of National Intelligence
Confidence
0.80
05

Pakistan's defence programme is focused on regional deterrence rather than targeting the American “homeland”.

factualnuclear non-proliferation experts
Confidence
0.70
§ 04

Full report

1 min read · 189 words
A US intelligence assessment warning of a potential threat from Pakistan’s prospective intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) has been challenged by nuclear non-proliferation experts, who say Islamabad’s defence programme is focused on regional deterrence rather than targeting the American “homeland”.Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard told the US Senate on Wednesday that Pakistan – along with China, Iran, North Korea and Russia – has been “researching and developing an array of novel, advanced or traditional missile delivery systems with nuclear and conventional payloads that can strike the homeland”.Gabbard said despite the rise of one-way attack drones, these five countries “will continue to prioritise advanced missiles that can threaten the US”.However, their militaries “almost certainly will plan to pair their high-end missiles with cheaper, expendable systems to stress US missile defences”, she said.On Thursday, Pakistan’s foreign ministry spokesman Tahir Andrabi “categorically rejected” the US claims, saying the country’s strategic capabilities were “exclusively defensive in nature, aimed at safeguarding national sovereignty and maintaining peace and stability in South Asia”.He said Islamabad’s missile programme “remains well below intercontinental range … [and] is firmly rooted in the doctrine of credible minimum deterrence vis-a-vis India”.
§ 05

Entities

10 identified
§ 06

Keywords & salience

10 terms
pakistan
0.90
icbms
0.90
missile delivery systems
0.70
nuclear non-proliferation
0.70
us intelligence assessment
0.60
regional deterrence
0.60
south asia
0.50
credible minimum deterrence
0.50
national sovereignty
0.40
missile defenses
0.40
§ 07

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